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Also traded in: Germany

GuruFocus Financial Strength Rank measures how strong a company’s financial situation is. It is based on these factors

1. The debt burden that the company has as measured by its Interest coverage (current year).
2. Debt to revenue ratio. The lower, the better
3. Altman Z-score.

A company ranks high with financial strength is likely to withstand any business slowdowns and recessions.

Financial Strength : 4/10

vs
industry
vs
history
Cash-to-Debt 0.15
AGO's Cash-to-Debt is ranked lower than
94% of the 71 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 5.79 vs. AGO: 0.15 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Cash-to-Debt only.
AGO' s Cash-to-Debt Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.02  Med: 0.09 Max: 0.68
Current: 0.15
0.02
0.68
Equity-to-Asset 0.47
AGO's Equity-to-Asset is ranked higher than
83% of the 72 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 0.29 vs. AGO: 0.47 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Equity-to-Asset only.
AGO' s Equity-to-Asset Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.17  Med: 0.42 Max: 0.63
Current: 0.47
0.17
0.63
Debt-to-Equity 0.19
AGO's Debt-to-Equity is ranked higher than
59% of the 39 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 0.21 vs. AGO: 0.19 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Debt-to-Equity only.
AGO' s Debt-to-Equity Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.05  Med: 0.19 Max: 0.38
Current: 0.19
0.05
0.38
Debt-to-EBITDA 1.46
AGO's Debt-to-EBITDA is ranked higher than
50% of the 36 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 1.19 vs. AGO: 1.46 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Debt-to-EBITDA only.
AGO' s Debt-to-EBITDA Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.67  Med: 1.18 Max: 5.93
Current: 1.46
0.67
5.93
WACC vs ROIC
8.41%
8.38%
WACC
ROIC
GuruFocus Profitability Rank ranks how profitable a company is and how likely the company’s business will stay that way. It is based on these factors:

1. Operating Margin
2. Trend of the Operating Margin (5-year average). The company with an uptrend profit margin has a higher rank.
••3. Consistency of the profitability
4. Piotroski F-Score
5. Predictability Rank•

The maximum rank is 10. A rank of 7 or higher means a higher profitability and may stay that way. A rank of 3 or lower indicates that the company has had trouble to make a profit.

Profitability Rank is not directly related to the Financial Strength Rank. But if a company is consistently profitable, its financial strength will be stronger.

Profitability & Growth : 4/10

vs
industry
vs
history
Net Margin % 37.52
AGO's Net Margin % is ranked higher than
96% of the 72 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 7.04 vs. AGO: 37.52 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Net Margin % only.
AGO' s Net Margin % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 9.37  Med: 43.13 Max: 62.13
Current: 37.52
9.37
62.13
ROE % 7.84
AGO's ROE % is ranked higher than
65% of the 72 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 7.61 vs. AGO: 7.84 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful ROE % only.
AGO' s ROE % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.28  Med: 13.63 Max: 20.01
Current: 7.84
2.28
20.01
ROA % 3.70
AGO's ROA % is ranked higher than
82% of the 72 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 2.00 vs. AGO: 3.70 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful ROA % only.
AGO' s ROA % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.63  Med: 4.44 Max: 7.17
Current: 3.7
0.63
7.17
3-Year Revenue Growth Rate 6.20
AGO's 3-Year Revenue Growth Rate is ranked higher than
58% of the 59 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 6.10 vs. AGO: 6.20 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful 3-Year Revenue Growth Rate only.
AGO' s 3-Year Revenue Growth Rate Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0  Med: 6.2 Max: 38.8
Current: 6.2
0
38.8
3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate -1.60
AGO's 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is ranked lower than
62% of the 47 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 3.30 vs. AGO: -1.60 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate only.
AGO' s 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0  Med: 8.5 Max: 106.1
Current: -1.6
0
106.1
3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate -1.60
AGO's 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate is ranked lower than
57% of the 47 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 1.50 vs. AGO: -1.60 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate only.
AGO' s 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0  Med: 14.6 Max: 131.6
Current: -1.6
0
131.6
GuruFocus has detected 4 Warning Signs with Assured Guaranty Ltd AGO.
More than 500,000 people have already joined GuruFocus to track the stocks they follow and exchange investment ideas.
» AGO's 30-Y Financials

Financials (Next Earnings Date: 2018-11-02 Est.)


Revenue & Net Income
Equity & Asset
Operating Cash Flow & Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow & Net Income

» Details

Guru Trades

Q3 2017

AGO Guru Trades in Q3 2017

Steven Cohen 25,385 sh (New)
Jim Simons 222,900 sh (New)
Paul Tudor Jones 29,151 sh (+113.36%)
Kahn Brothers 900,835 sh (+15.98%)
Arnold Schneider 534,903 sh (+0.88%)
Caxton Associates 13,000 sh (-1.52%)
Chuck Royce 291,568 sh (-3.99%)
Diamond Hill Capital 73,976 sh (-28.11%)
Jeremy Grantham 94,176 sh (-47.06%)
» More
Q4 2017

AGO Guru Trades in Q4 2017

Jim Simons 883,900 sh (+296.55%)
Caxton Associates 17,173 sh (+32.10%)
Kahn Brothers 1,062,549 sh (+17.95%)
Paul Tudor Jones 32,933 sh (+12.97%)
Chuck Royce 301,044 sh (+3.25%)
Diamond Hill Capital 73,976 sh (unchged)
Steven Cohen Sold Out
Jeremy Grantham Sold Out
Arnold Schneider 470,629 sh (-12.02%)
» More
Q1 2018

AGO Guru Trades in Q1 2018

Ray Dalio 7,101 sh (New)
Paul Tudor Jones 88,633 sh (+169.13%)
Diamond Hill Capital 148,096 sh (+100.19%)
Arnold Schneider 812,541 sh (+72.65%)
Kahn Brothers 1,240,092 sh (+16.71%)
Chuck Royce 302,014 sh (+0.32%)
Caxton Associates Sold Out
Jim Simons 588,800 sh (-33.39%)
» More
Q2 2018

AGO Guru Trades in Q2 2018

Caxton Associates 11,837 sh (New)
Kahn Brothers 1,257,760 sh (+1.42%)
Ray Dalio Sold Out
Arnold Schneider 810,541 sh (-0.25%)
Diamond Hill Capital 147,436 sh (-0.45%)
Chuck Royce 285,914 sh (-5.33%)
Paul Tudor Jones 55,401 sh (-37.49%)
Jim Simons 52,690 sh (-91.05%)
» More
» Details

Insider Trades

Latest Guru Trades with AGO

(List those with share number changes of more than 20%, or impact to portfolio more than 0.1%)

GuruDate Trades Impact to Portfolio Price Range * (?) Current Price Change from Average Current Shares
Kahn Brothers 2018-06-30 Add 1.42%0.1%$34.99 - $38.18 $ 40.8812%1,257,760
Arnold Schneider 2018-06-30 Reduce -0.25%0.02%$34.99 - $38.18 $ 40.8812%810,541
Kahn Brothers 2018-03-31 Add 16.71%1.02%$33.01 - $38.07 $ 40.8816%1,240,092
Arnold Schneider 2018-03-31 Add 72.65%2.84%$33.01 - $38.07 $ 40.8816%812,541
Kahn Brothers 2017-12-31 Add 17.95%0.86%$33.65 - $38.69 $ 40.8813%1,062,549
Arnold Schneider 2017-12-31 Reduce -12.02%0.44%$33.65 - $38.69 $ 40.8813%470,629
Premium More recent guru trades are included for Premium Members only!!
Premium More recent guru trades are included for USA Subscribe Members only!!
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Business Description

Industry: Insurance - Specialty » Insurance - Specialty    NAICS: 524126    SIC: 6351
Compare:NYSE:MTG, NYSE:RDN, TSX:MIC, JSE:SNT, NYSE:FAF, SAU:8210, ASX:NHF, LSE:LRE, XSWX:VAHN, NYSE:EIG, XTER:NBG6, OSL:PROTCT, NAS:AMBC, NAS:TRUP, XKLS:6139, NAS:GLRE, NAS:ITIC, LSE:RQIH, NAS:TIPT, TSX:TSU » details
Traded in other countries:DHU.Germany,
Headquarter Location:Bermuda
Assured Guaranty Ltd is in the financial services industry. The company provides insurance that protects holders of debt instruments and other monetary obligations from defaults in scheduled payments.

Assured Guaranty offers financial guaranty insurance that protects holders of debt instruments and other monetary obligations from defaults in scheduled payments. In exchange for the insurance premiums the company collects, it is required to pay debtholders the amount of the shortfall in the event of default on a product it has insured. The company markets its insurance to issuers, underwriters, and investors in public finance and structured finance securities. Assured's products guarantee a number of different types of public finance obligations, issued principally in the United States and the United Kingdom, but also in other regions such as Australia and Western Europe.

Top Ranked Articles about Assured Guaranty Ltd

Kahn Brothers Boosts 3 Positions in 1st Quarter Investment firm discloses quarterly portfolio
Kahn Brothers (Trades, Portfolio), founded by legendary investor Irving Kahn, follows a Benjamin Graham-style investing approach. On Tuesday, the firm disclosed it increased its position in three companies during the first quarter: Assured Guaranty Ltd. (NYSE:AGO), New York Community Bancorp Inc. (NYSE:NYCB) and GlaxoSmithKline PLC (NYSE:GSK). Read more...
Einhorn's Presentation at the Sohn Conference 2018 Einhorn is short Assured Guaranty
At the Sohn conference 2018 David Einhorn (Trades, Portfolio) of Greenlight Capital presented another short idea. His target is a medium-sized bond insurance company called Assured Guaranty (NYSE:AGO). Just after Einhorn's thesis leaked and the company issued a defensive press release I wrote about it here on GuruFocus. Now, Einhorn's presentation, which I didn't have at the time of the original article, contains juicy additional information! For good measure, the timeline was like this: Read more...
New Research: Key Drivers of Growth for Assured Guaranty, CarGurus, The Ensign Group, Douglas Dynamics, Chubb, and Paratek Pharmaceuticals — Factors of Influence, Major Initiatives and Sustained Production

Ratios

vs
industry
vs
history
PE Ratio 8.96
AGO's PE Ratio is ranked higher than
92% of the 59 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 13.54 vs. AGO: 8.96 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful PE Ratio only.
AGO' s PE Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.07  Med: 4.97 Max: 48.06
Current: 8.96
1.07
48.06
Forward PE Ratio 12.76
AGO's Forward PE Ratio is ranked higher than
62% of the 24 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 12.47 vs. AGO: 12.76 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward PE Ratio only.
N/A
PE Ratio without NRI 8.96
AGO's PE Ratio without NRI is ranked higher than
92% of the 60 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 13.54 vs. AGO: 8.96 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful PE Ratio without NRI only.
AGO' s PE Ratio without NRI Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.07  Med: 4.97 Max: 48.06
Current: 8.96
1.07
48.06
PB Ratio 0.67
AGO's PB Ratio is ranked higher than
92% of the 71 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 1.15 vs. AGO: 0.67 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful PB Ratio only.
AGO' s PB Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.16  Med: 0.7 Max: 1.37
Current: 0.67
0.16
1.37
PS Ratio 3.44
AGO's PS Ratio is ranked lower than
77% of the 71 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 1.50 vs. AGO: 3.44 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful PS Ratio only.
AGO' s PS Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.35  Med: 2.51 Max: 35.67
Current: 3.44
0.35
35.67
Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow 6.93
AGO's Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is ranked higher than
57% of the 49 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 11.08 vs. AGO: 6.93 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow only.
AGO' s Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.75  Med: 9.06 Max: 83.93
Current: 6.93
0.75
83.93
Price-to-Operating-Cash-Flow 6.93
AGO's Price-to-Operating-Cash-Flow is ranked higher than
55% of the 53 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 10.52 vs. AGO: 6.93 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Operating-Cash-Flow only.
AGO' s Price-to-Operating-Cash-Flow Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.75  Med: 9.06 Max: 83.93
Current: 6.93
0.75
83.93
EV-to-EBIT 5.28
AGO's EV-to-EBIT is ranked higher than
87% of the 54 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 9.72 vs. AGO: 5.28 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful EV-to-EBIT only.
AGO' s EV-to-EBIT Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -211.1  Med: 3.7 Max: 605.8
Current: 5.28
-211.1
605.8
EV-to-EBITDA 5.28
AGO's EV-to-EBITDA is ranked higher than
85% of the 55 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 9.13 vs. AGO: 5.28 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful EV-to-EBITDA only.
AGO' s EV-to-EBITDA Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -211.1  Med: 3.7 Max: 605.8
Current: 5.28
-211.1
605.8
EV-to-Revenue 3.24
AGO's EV-to-Revenue is ranked lower than
84% of the 68 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 1.27 vs. AGO: 3.24 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful EV-to-Revenue only.
AGO' s EV-to-Revenue Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.2  Med: 2.5 Max: 17.8
Current: 3.24
0.2
17.8
PEG Ratio 0.24
AGO's PEG Ratio is ranked higher than
96% of the 24 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 0.94 vs. AGO: 0.24 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful PEG Ratio only.
AGO' s PEG Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.19  Med: 0.42 Max: 0.8
Current: 0.24
0.19
0.8
Shiller PE Ratio 10.49
AGO's Shiller PE Ratio is ranked higher than
92% of the 24 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 16.70 vs. AGO: 10.49 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Shiller PE Ratio only.
AGO' s Shiller PE Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 6.97  Med: 12.31 Max: 16.84
Current: 10.49
6.97
16.84

Dividend & Buy Back

vs
industry
vs
history
Dividend Yield % 1.52
AGO's Dividend Yield % is ranked lower than
88% of the 111 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 3.46 vs. AGO: 1.52 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Dividend Yield % only.
AGO' s Dividend Yield % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.69  Med: 1.62 Max: 4.93
Current: 1.52
0.69
4.93
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.13
AGO's Dividend Payout Ratio is ranked higher than
89% of the 53 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 0.38 vs. AGO: 0.13 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Dividend Payout Ratio only.
AGO' s Dividend Payout Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.04  Med: 0.09 Max: 0.63
Current: 0.13
0.04
0.63
3-Year Dividend Growth Rate 9.00
AGO's 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate is ranked higher than
58% of the 38 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 8.30 vs. AGO: 9.00 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate only.
AGO' s 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0  Med: 9 Max: 38.7
Current: 9
0
38.7
Forward Dividend Yield % 1.57
AGO's Forward Dividend Yield % is ranked lower than
87% of the 97 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 4.14 vs. AGO: 1.57 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Dividend Yield % only.
N/A
5-Year Yield-on-Cost % 2.39
AGO's 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % is ranked lower than
88% of the 123 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 5.59 vs. AGO: 2.39 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % only.
AGO' s 5-Year Yield-on-Cost % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.09  Med: 2.55 Max: 7.76
Current: 2.39
1.09
7.76
3-Year Average Share Buyback Ratio 9.80
AGO's 3-Year Average Share Buyback Ratio is ranked higher than
95% of the 41 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: -0.20 vs. AGO: 9.80 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful 3-Year Average Share Buyback Ratio only.
AGO' s 3-Year Average Share Buyback Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -39.7  Med: 0 Max: 11.1
Current: 9.8
-39.7
11.1

Valuation & Return

vs
industry
vs
history
Price-to-Tangible-Book 0.68
AGO's Price-to-Tangible-Book is ranked higher than
94% of the 69 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 1.46 vs. AGO: 0.68 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Tangible-Book only.
AGO' s Price-to-Tangible-Book Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.32  Med: 0.74 Max: 1.35
Current: 0.68
0.32
1.35
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF 0.64
AGO's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF is ranked higher than
62% of the 34 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 0.77 vs. AGO: 0.64 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF only.
AGO' s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.15  Med: 0.55 Max: 0.85
Current: 0.64
0.15
0.85
Price-to-Median-PS-Value 1.36
AGO's Price-to-Median-PS-Value is ranked higher than
53% of the 59 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 0.99 vs. AGO: 1.36 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Median-PS-Value only.
AGO' s Price-to-Median-PS-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.26  Med: 1.17 Max: 11.29
Current: 1.36
0.26
11.29
Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value 0.77
AGO's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked higher than
91% of the 11 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 0.86 vs. AGO: 0.77 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value only.
AGO' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.15  Med: 0.38 Max: 4.06
Current: 0.77
0.15
4.06
Price-to-Graham-Number 0.52
AGO's Price-to-Graham-Number is ranked higher than
94% of the 50 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 0.93 vs. AGO: 0.52 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Graham-Number only.
AGO' s Price-to-Graham-Number Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.17  Med: 0.45 Max: 1.36
Current: 0.52
0.17
1.36
Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) % 18.90
AGO's Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) % is ranked higher than
90% of the 72 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 7.42 vs. AGO: 18.90 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) % only.
AGO' s Earnings Yield (Greenblatt) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -25  Med: 25.3 Max: 1091.2
Current: 18.9
-25
1091.2
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % 16.74
AGO's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked higher than
82% of the 38 Companies
in the Global Insurance - Specialty industry.

( Industry Median: 13.79 vs. AGO: 16.74 )
Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.
AGO' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -42.9  Med: -9.3 Max: 24
Current: 16.74
-42.9
24

More Statistics

Revenue (TTM) (Mil) $1,418.00
EPS (TTM) $ 4.55
Beta1.00
Volatility15.41%
52-Week Range $32.97 - 43.07
Shares Outstanding (Mil)108.39

Analyst Estimate

Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Revenue (Mil $) 960 1,003 1,020
EBIT (Mil $)
EBITDA (Mil $)
EPS ($) 3.87 3.20 4.46
EPS without NRI ($) 3.87 3.20 4.46
EPS Growth Rate
(Future 3Y To 5Y Estimate)
N/A
Dividends per Share ($) 0.52 0.57 0.63

Piotroski F-Score Details

Piotroski F-Score: ----
Positive ROAN
Positive CFROAN
Higher ROA yoyN
CFROA > ROAN
Lower Leverage yoyN
Higher Current Ratio yoyN
Less Shares Outstanding yoyN
Higher Gross Margin yoyN
Higher Asset Turnover yoyN

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