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BGB (Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


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What is Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.95

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund  (NYSE:BGB) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
345 Park Avenue, 31st Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10154
Blackstone Strategic Credit Fund is a closed-end term fund. Its primary investment objective is to seek high current income. The secondary objective of the fund is to seek the preservation of capital. Under normal market conditions, the Fund invests at least 80% of its Managed Assets in senior, secured floating-rate loans. The fund also invest in second-lien loans and high yield bonds and employs financial leverage, which may increase risk to the Fund. The Fund has a limited term, and absent shareholder approval to extend the life of the Fund.
Executives
Gordon Mckemie other: Portfolio Manager C/O GSO CAPITAL PARTNERS LP, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Valerie Naratil officer: Public Relations Officer 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Metlife Investment Management, Llc 10 percent owner ONE METLIFE WAY, WHIPPANY NJ 07981
William J Renahan officer: Chief Compliance Officer 399 PARK AVENUE, 4TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Gregory Roppa officer: CFO & Treasurer 601 LEXINGTON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Jane Siebels director 345 PARK AVENUE, 31ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10154
Robert Post other: Portfolio Manager C/O GSO/BLACKSTONE DEBT FUNDS MGMT, LLC, 345 PARK AVE 31ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10154
Robert W Busch officer: CFO & Treasurer C/O HPS INVESTMENT PARTNERS, LLC, 40 WEST 57TH STREET, 33RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Robert Zable other: Portfolio Mngr,Mbr of Inv.Comm 1290 BROADWAY, SUITE 1100, DENVER CO 80203
Voya Financial, Inc. 10 percent owner 230 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10169
Lion Connecticut Holdings Inc. 10 percent owner ONE ORANGE WAY, WINDSOR CT 06095
Ing Usa Annuity & Life Insurance Co 10 percent owner 699 WALNUT STREET, SUITE 1350, DE MOINES IA 50309-3942
Ing Life Insurance & Annuity Co 10 percent owner ONE ORANGE WAY, WINDSOR CT 06095-4774
Sun Life Financial Inc 10 percent owner SUN LIFE ASSURANCE CO OF CANADA, ONE YORK STREET, TORONTO A6 M5J 0B6
Sun Life Assurance Co Of Canada 10 percent owner ONE YORK STREET, TORONTO A6 M5J 0B6