Capital Industrial Financial Services Group (FRA:CGG) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01% (As of Jul. 02, 2026)


FRA:CGG Capital Industrial Financial Services Group Ltd FRA:CGG
47 GF Score
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! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Capital Industrial Financial Services Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Capital Industrial Financial Services Group FRA:CGG 47 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jul. 02, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:CGG with a GF Score™ of 47/100. The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Capital Industrial Financial Services Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Capital Industrial Financial Services Group  (FRA:CGG) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Capital Industrial Financial Services Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


FRA:CGG vs V, MA, AXP: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Credit Services subindustry, Capital Industrial Financial Services Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Capital Industrial Financial Services Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Credit Services Industry

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, Capital Industrial Financial Services Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Capital Industrial Financial Services Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


FRA:CGG
47GF Score
Capital Industrial Financial Services Group Ltd FRA:CGG
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Capital Industrial Financial Services Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.90

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% mean?
Capital Industrial Financial Services Group (FRA:CGG) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% as of Jul. 02, 2026.
Is Capital Industrial Financial Services Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Capital Industrial Financial Services Group's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Overall, Capital Industrial Financial Services Group has a GF Score™ of 47/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Capital Industrial Financial Services Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to V and MA?
Capital Industrial Financial Services Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% can be compared against companies in the Credit Services industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Credit Services company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Credit Services industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Capital Industrial Financial Services Group's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Capital Industrial Financial Services Group stock overvalued right now?
Capital Industrial Financial Services Group (FRA:CGG) has a current Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01%. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Capital Industrial Financial Services Group's overall GF Score™ is 47/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Capital Industrial Financial Services Group (FRA:CGG), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jul. 02, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Capital Industrial Financial Services Group Business Description

Other Exchanges 00730:Hong Kong
Address 39 Gloucester Road, Suite 803, 8th Floor, Harcourt House, Wanchai, Hong Kong, HKG
Capital Industrial Financial Services Group Ltd is an investment holding company engaged in the provision of sale and leaseback arrangements services, property leasing services, supply chain management business, asset management, and consultancy services. Its operating divisions are sale and leaseback arrangements services, property leasing services, and supply chain management and financial technology business. The majority of revenue is from supply chain management and financial technology business. The group operates in two principal geographical areas: the Chinese Mainland and Hong Kong.
47GF Score

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Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

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