What is STEC, Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, STEC,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of STEC,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Computer Hardware subindustry, STEC,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
STEC,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Hardware Industry
For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, STEC,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where STEC,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
STEC, Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
STEC, (FRA:XTC) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
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Address
STEC, Inc., was incorporated in 1990 in the state of California. It provides enterprise-class Flash solid-state drives that are designed to increase the performance of enterprise-storage systems and servers that companies use to retain and access their critical data. Its products are designed for storage systems and servers that run applications requiring a high level of input/output operations per second ('IOPS') performance, capacity, reliability and low latency. The Company designs and develops its SSD controllers, enhance them with proprietary firmware and combine them with third-party Flash memory to form high-performance SSDs which provide a level of IOPS performance not currently possible with traditional hard disk drives ('HDDs'). The Company sells its SSDs to global storage and server original equipment manufacturers ('OEMs') which integrate them into storage systems and servers used by enterprises in a variety of industries including financial services, government, transportation, defense and aerospace, and transaction processing. It also manufactures small form factor Flash SSDs, cards and modules, as well as custom high density dynamic random access memory ('DRAM') modules for networking, communications and industrial applications. The Company markets its products to OEMs, leveraging its comprehensive design capabilities to offer custom storage solutions to address their specific needs. A major area of its Flash-based product investment has been applied to SSD technology. It also offers both monolithic DRAM modules and DRAM modules based on its proprietary stacking technology. The Company also offers both monolithic DRAM modules and DRAM modules based on its proprietary stacking technology. The Company's ZeusIOPS SSDs are high performance enterprise-class data storage solutions. Its MACH-class SSDs are small form factor, high throughput storage solutions for mission-critical systems in a variety of industries. The Company's Industrial Grade Advanced Technology Attachment ('ATA') PC Cards are viable alternatives to HDDs due to their high reliability and low cost per useable megabyte. CompactFlash products provide full PC Card ATA functionality but are only one-fourth the size of a standard PC Card. Its flash module products include USB and Serial ATA interfaces and are targeted toward embedded systems where device footprint and low power are critical design parameters. The Company's Secure Digital ('SD') Flash Memory Cards are small, removable and non-volatile flash memory with a high performance interface. Its USB flash drive built upon an industrial-grade flash controller technology has capacity of 1GB to 8GB, its USB Flash Drive couples convenience and portability with performance and reliability. The Company offers DRAM products, including dual in-line memory modules ('DIMMs'), small-outline DIMMs, mini-registered DIMMs, very low profile registered DIMMs ('VLP RDIMMs') and Fully-Buffered DIMMs ('FB-DIMMs'). Its pat
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