Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.
STEC,'s Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.
The historical rank and industry rank for STEC,'s Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:
FRA:XTC's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked *
in the Hardware industry.
Industry Median: 0.96 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.
STEC, Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data
The historical data trend for STEC,'s Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Competitive Comparison of STEC,'s Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
For the Computer Hardware subindustry, STEC,'s Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
STEC,'s Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the Hardware Industry
For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, STEC,'s Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where STEC,'s Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.
This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.
Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:
1. Discount Rate: d = 11% A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.26%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.
2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>
STEC,'s average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past
3 years was 0.00%,
which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%
3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10
4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%
5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10
6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = €-1.613. GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.
All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.
STEC,'s Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.
Be Aware
What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:
1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.
You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.
STEC, Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of STEC,'s Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
STEC, Inc., was incorporated in 1990 in the state of California. It provides enterprise-class Flash solid-state drives that are designed to increase the performance of enterprise-storage systems and servers that companies use to retain and access their critical data. Its products are designed for storage systems and servers that run applications requiring a high level of input/output operations per second ('IOPS') performance, capacity, reliability and low latency. The Company designs and develops its SSD controllers, enhance them with proprietary firmware and combine them with third-party Flash memory to form high-performance SSDs which provide a level of IOPS performance not currently possible with traditional hard disk drives ('HDDs'). The Company sells its SSDs to global storage and server original equipment manufacturers ('OEMs') which integrate them into storage systems and servers used by enterprises in a variety of industries including financial services, government, transportation, defense and aerospace, and transaction processing. It also manufactures small form factor Flash SSDs, cards and modules, as well as custom high density dynamic random access memory ('DRAM') modules for networking, communications and industrial applications. The Company markets its products to OEMs, leveraging its comprehensive design capabilities to offer custom storage solutions to address their specific needs. A major area of its Flash-based product investment has been applied to SSD technology. It also offers both monolithic DRAM modules and DRAM modules based on its proprietary stacking technology. The Company also offers both monolithic DRAM modules and DRAM modules based on its proprietary stacking technology. The Company's ZeusIOPS SSDs are high performance enterprise-class data storage solutions. Its MACH-class SSDs are small form factor, high throughput storage solutions for mission-critical systems in a variety of industries. The Company's Industrial Grade Advanced Technology Attachment ('ATA') PC Cards are viable alternatives to HDDs due to their high reliability and low cost per useable megabyte. CompactFlash products provide full PC Card ATA functionality but are only one-fourth the size of a standard PC Card. Its flash module products include USB and Serial ATA interfaces and are targeted toward embedded systems where device footprint and low power are critical design parameters. The Company's Secure Digital ('SD') Flash Memory Cards are small, removable and non-volatile flash memory with a high performance interface. Its USB flash drive built upon an industrial-grade flash controller technology has capacity of 1GB to 8GB, its USB Flash Drive couples convenience and portability with performance and reliability. The Company offers DRAM products, including dual in-line memory modules ('DIMMs'), small-outline DIMMs, mini-registered DIMMs, very low profile registered DIMMs ('VLP RDIMMs') and Fully-Buffered DIMMs ('FB-DIMMs'). Its pat
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