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STEC, (FRA:XTC) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 6.04% (As of Jun. 2013)


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What is STEC, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. STEC,'s forward rate of return for was 6.04%.

The historical rank and industry rank for STEC,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:XTC's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Hardware industry.
Industry Median: 8.87
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


STEC, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for STEC,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

STEC, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

STEC, Annual Data
Trend Dec03 Dec04 Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.63 21.76 40.23 27.96 3.49

STEC, Quarterly Data
Sep08 Dec08 Mar09 Jun09 Sep09 Dec09 Mar10 Jun10 Sep10 Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.80 1.63 3.49 5.84 6.04

Competitive Comparison of STEC,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Computer Hardware subindustry, STEC,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


STEC,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, STEC,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where STEC,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



STEC, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

STEC,'s Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2013 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.43771429/5.114+0.1805
=26.61 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


STEC,  (FRA:XTC) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


STEC, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of STEC,'s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


STEC, (FRA:XTC) Business Description

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Address
STEC, Inc., was incorporated in 1990 in the state of California. It provides enterprise-class Flash solid-state drives that are designed to increase the performance of enterprise-storage systems and servers that companies use to retain and access their critical data. Its products are designed for storage systems and servers that run applications requiring a high level of input/output operations per second ('IOPS') performance, capacity, reliability and low latency. The Company designs and develops its SSD controllers, enhance them with proprietary firmware and combine them with third-party Flash memory to form high-performance SSDs which provide a level of IOPS performance not currently possible with traditional hard disk drives ('HDDs'). The Company sells its SSDs to global storage and server original equipment manufacturers ('OEMs') which integrate them into storage systems and servers used by enterprises in a variety of industries including financial services, government, transportation, defense and aerospace, and transaction processing. It also manufactures small form factor Flash SSDs, cards and modules, as well as custom high density dynamic random access memory ('DRAM') modules for networking, communications and industrial applications. The Company markets its products to OEMs, leveraging its comprehensive design capabilities to offer custom storage solutions to address their specific needs. A major area of its Flash-based product investment has been applied to SSD technology. It also offers both monolithic DRAM modules and DRAM modules based on its proprietary stacking technology. The Company also offers both monolithic DRAM modules and DRAM modules based on its proprietary stacking technology. The Company's ZeusIOPS SSDs are high performance enterprise-class data storage solutions. Its MACH-class SSDs are small form factor, high throughput storage solutions for mission-critical systems in a variety of industries. The Company's Industrial Grade Advanced Technology Attachment ('ATA') PC Cards are viable alternatives to HDDs due to their high reliability and low cost per useable megabyte. CompactFlash products provide full PC Card ATA functionality but are only one-fourth the size of a standard PC Card. Its flash module products include USB and Serial ATA interfaces and are targeted toward embedded systems where device footprint and low power are critical design parameters. The Company's Secure Digital ('SD') Flash Memory Cards are small, removable and non-volatile flash memory with a high performance interface. Its USB flash drive built upon an industrial-grade flash controller technology has capacity of 1GB to 8GB, its USB Flash Drive couples convenience and portability with performance and reliability. The Company offers DRAM products, including dual in-line memory modules ('DIMMs'), small-outline DIMMs, mini-registered DIMMs, very low profile registered DIMMs ('VLP RDIMMs') and Fully-Buffered DIMMs ('FB-DIMMs'). Its pat

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