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Glen Burnie Bancorp (Glen Burnie Bancorp) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.19% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Glen Burnie Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Glen Burnie Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.19%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Glen Burnie Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Glen Burnie Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Glen Burnie Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Glen Burnie Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Glen Burnie Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Glen Burnie Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.27

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.19%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Glen Burnie Bancorp  (NAS:GLBZ) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Glen Burnie Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Glen Burnie Bancorp (Glen Burnie Bancorp) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
101 Crain Highway, S.E., Glen Burnie, MD, USA, 21061
Glen Burnie Bancorp is a bank holding company for The Bank of Glen Burnie. It offers retail and commercial banking services such as checking, savings, loans, mobile banking, online banking, wire transfer, ACH services, debit card, automated teller machines, and safe deposit boxes among others. The bank generates its revenue in the form of interest income. All of the revenues are earned within the United States.
Executives
Mary L Wilcox director 711 MAYO RD, GLEN BURNIE MD 21061
Julie M Mussog director 1105 MIAMI AVENUE, ANNAPOLIS MD 21403
Stanford Hess director 43 RIVER OAKS CIRCLE, BALTIMORE MD 21208
Joan Rumenap director 115 1ST AVENUE, SW, GLEN BURNIE MD 21061
Harrison Norman E Jr director 1 BARNABY COURT, TIMONIUM MD 21093
John D. Long director, officer: Executive Vice President 101 CRANE HIGHWAY, S.E., GLEN BURNIE MD 21061
Edward L Maddox director 323 ARBOR OAKS CT., MILLERSVILLE MD 21108
John Melvin Wright officer: CFO 1301 MERRITT BOULEVARD, DUNDALK MD 21222
Kuethe F William Jr director, officer: President 101 CRAIN HIGHWAY SE, GLEN BURNIE MD 21061
John E Demyan director 101 CRAIN HWY SE, GLEN BURNIE MD 21061
Andrew Cooch director 101 CRAIN HIGHWAY SE, GLEN BURNIE MD 21061
Karen B Thowarth director 201 THIRD AVE SW, GLEN BURNIE MD 21061
Edward B Connelly officer: COO 207 SANFORD AVENUE, CATONSVILLE MD 21228
Scherer William N Sr director 24 CRAIN HIGHWAY SW, GLEN BURNIE MD 21061
Joyce Ann Ohmer officer: Senior Vice President 300 COUNCIL OAK DRIVE, SEVERN MD 21144

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