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KOS International Holdings (HKSE:08042) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.08% (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is KOS International Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, KOS International Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.08%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of KOS International Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Staffing & Employment Services subindustry, KOS International Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


KOS International Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, KOS International Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where KOS International Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



KOS International Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.09

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.08%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


KOS International Holdings  (HKSE:08042) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


KOS International Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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KOS International Holdings Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 5 Canton Road, Suite 610, 6th Floor, Ocean Centre, Tsim Sha Tsui, Kowloon, Hong Kong, HKG
KOS International Holdings Ltd is an investment holding company. It is engaged in providing recruitment services and secondment and payroll services in Hong Kong, Macau and the People's Republic of China (the PRC). Geographically the services are offered in Hong Kong and Macau. The company operates under the brand names such as KOS Executive, KOS Recruitment, KOS Staffing, KOS Solutions, and KOS China. The Group operates in one business unit based on their services, and has one operating segment, human resource services operation. The majority of Group's revenue is generated from Hong Kong.
Executives
Caiden Holdings Limited 2501 Other
Kje Limited 2501 Other
Chan Ka Kin Kevin 2401 A concert party to an agreement to buy shares
Chan Ka On Eddie 2401 A concert party to an agreement to buy shares
Chan Ka Shing Jackson 2401 A concert party to an agreement to buy shares
Chow Ka Wai Raymond 2401 A concert party to an agreement to buy shares

KOS International Holdings Headlines

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