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HSII (Heidrick & Struggles International) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Dec. 13, 2024)


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What is Heidrick & Struggles International Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Heidrick & Struggles International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Heidrick & Struggles International's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Staffing & Employment Services subindustry, Heidrick & Struggles International's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Heidrick & Struggles International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Heidrick & Struggles International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Heidrick & Struggles International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Heidrick & Struggles International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.69

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Heidrick & Struggles International  (NAS:HSII) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Heidrick & Struggles International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Heidrick & Struggles International Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
233 South Wacker Drive, Suite 4900, Chicago, IL, USA, 60606-6303
Heidrick & Struggles International Inc is a leadership advisory firm providing executive search and consulting services to businesses and business leaders world wide. The company's operating segments includes the executive search business which operates in the Americas; Europe; Asia Pacific and On-Demand Talent and Heidrick Consulting. It generates maximum revenue from the Americas.
Executives
Mark R Harris officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O HERCULES TECHNOLOGY GROWTH CAPITAL, 400 HAMILTON AVENUE, SUITE 310, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Sarah Payne officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 233 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 4900, CHICAGO IL 60606
John L Berisford director C/O THE PEPSI BOTTLING GROUP, INC., ONE PEPSI WAY, SOMERS NY 10589
Michael M Cullen officer: Chief Operating Officer 233 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 4900, CHICAGO IL 60606
Tracey Heaton officer: Chief Legal Officer & Corp Sec C/O HEIDRICK & STRUGGLES INT'L, INC., 233 S. WACKER DR. SUITE 4900, CHICAGO IL 60606
Bear Mary E.g. director C/O IMPERVA, INC., 3400 BRIDGE PARKWAY, STE. 200, REDWOOD SHORES CA 94065
Krishnan Rajagopalan officer: President and CEO 2001 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, SUITE 800, WASHINGTON DC 20006
Elizabeth L Axelrod director C/O EBAY INC., 2065 HAMILTON AVENUE, SAN JOSE CA 95125
Willem Mesdag director C/O RED MOUNTAIN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC., 10100 SANTA MONICA BOULEVARD, SUITE 925, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Stacey Rauch director C/O ASCENA RETAIL GROUP, INC., 933 MACARTHUR BOULEVARD, MAHWAH NJ 07430
Adam Warby director 2211 ELLIOTT AVE. SUITE 200, SEATTLE WA 98121
Lyle Logan director ONE TOWER LANE, OAKBROOK TERRACE IL 60181
Clare M. Chapman director 233 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 4900, CHICAGO IL 60606
Laszlo Bock director 233 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 4900, CHICAGO IL 60606
Kamau Coar officer: General Counsel and Secretary 233 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 4900, CHICAGO IL 60606