What is Albemarle & Bond Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Albemarle & Bond Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of Albemarle & Bond Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Credit Services subindustry, Albemarle & Bond Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Albemarle & Bond Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Credit Services Industry
For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, Albemarle & Bond Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Albemarle & Bond Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Albemarle & Bond Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
Albemarle & Bond Holdings (LSE:ABM) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Albemarle & Bond Holdings PLC was incorporated on January 17, 1986. The Company is a holding company engaged in pawnbroking, retail jewellery sales, gold purchasing, unsecured lending, including cheque cashing and other financial services. It has approximately 230 stores and 1,000 employees. Operating under the two brands, Albemarle Bond and Herbert Brown, it provides its customers with a range of services including jewellery retailing, pawnbroking loans, gold purchasing and a range of unsecured loan products. The pawn loan is secured against jewellery for a maximum of six months. The customer can redeem their jewellery by repaying the loan and interest owing at any time without incurring penalties for early redemption. The Company provides short-term loans through three products, PayDay Advances, Speedloans, and Cheque Cashing. PayDay Advances offer customers short-term unsecured loans to meet their cash flow requirements until wages are received. Speedloans provide customers with immediately available installment loans over a longer term of between six and 18 months and Cheque Cashing provides access to their cash for customers who have received cheques. The Company offers a range of new and second hand jewellery. Herbert Brown offers a range of new, second hand and antique jewellery.
Albemarle & Bond Holdings (LSE:ABM) Headlines
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
Portfolio Contest
LSE:ABM has been successfully added to your