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Albemarle & Bond Holdings (LSE:ABM) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : £2.27 (As of Jun13)


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What is Albemarle & Bond Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Jun13, Albemarle & Bond Holdings's earnings power value is £2.27. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Albemarle & Bond Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Albemarle & Bond Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Albemarle & Bond Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Albemarle & Bond Holdings Annual Data
Trend Jun04 Jun05 Jun06 Jun07 Jun08 Jun09 Jun10 Jun11 Jun12 Jun13
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
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Albemarle & Bond Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Jun92 Jun93 Jun94 Jun95 Jun96 Jun97 Jun98 Jun01 Jun02 Jun03 Jun04 Jun05 Jun06 Jun07 Jun08 Jun09 Jun10 Jun11 Jun12 Jun13
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Competitive Comparison of Albemarle & Bond Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Credit Services subindustry, Albemarle & Bond Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Albemarle & Bond Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Credit Services Industry

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, Albemarle & Bond Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Albemarle & Bond Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Albemarle & Bond Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Albemarle & Bond Holdings's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 5 Years Last Year
Revenue 92.8
DDA 2.9
Operating Margin % 20.22
SGA * 25% 6.7
Tax Rate % 27.48
Maintenance Capex 3.7
Cash and Cash Equivalents 10.1
Short-Term Debt 53.5
Long-Term Debt 0.0
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 55.3

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 20.22%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = £92.8 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 20.22%, Average Adjusted SGA = 6.7,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 92.8 * 20.22% +6.7 = £25.47901348 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 27.48%, and "Normalized" EBIT = £25.47901348 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 25.47901348 * ( 1 - 27.48% ) = £18.477890155966 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 2.9 * 0.5 * 27.48% = £0.400986454 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 18.477890155966 + 0.400986454 = £18.878876609966 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Albemarle & Bond Holdings's Average Maintenance CAPEX = £3.7 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Albemarle & Bond Holdings's current cash and cash equivalent = £10.1 Mil.
Albemarle & Bond Holdings's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.0 + 53.5 = £53.5 Mil.
Albemarle & Bond Holdings's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 55.3 Mil.

Albemarle & Bond Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jun13 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 18.878876609966 - 3.7)/ 9%+10.1-53.5 )/55.3
=2.27

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 2.2684468959494-0.07 )/2.2684468959494
= 96.91%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Albemarle & Bond Holdings  (LSE:ABM) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Albemarle & Bond Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Albemarle & Bond Holdings Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Albemarle & Bond Holdings PLC was incorporated on January 17, 1986. The Company is a holding company engaged in pawnbroking, retail jewellery sales, gold purchasing, unsecured lending, including cheque cashing and other financial services. It has approximately 230 stores and 1,000 employees. Operating under the two brands, Albemarle Bond and Herbert Brown, it provides its customers with a range of services including jewellery retailing, pawnbroking loans, gold purchasing and a range of unsecured loan products. The pawn loan is secured against jewellery for a maximum of six months. The customer can redeem their jewellery by repaying the loan and interest owing at any time without incurring penalties for early redemption. The Company provides short-term loans through three products, PayDay Advances, Speedloans, and Cheque Cashing. PayDay Advances offer customers short-term unsecured loans to meet their cash flow requirements until wages are received. Speedloans provide customers with immediately available installment loans over a longer term of between six and 18 months and Cheque Cashing provides access to their cash for customers who have received cheques. The Company offers a range of new and second hand jewellery. Herbert Brown offers a range of new, second hand and antique jewellery.

Albemarle & Bond Holdings Headlines