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Boston Omaha (Boston Omaha) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Boston Omaha Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Boston Omaha's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Boston Omaha's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Advertising Agencies subindustry, Boston Omaha's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Boston Omaha's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Boston Omaha's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Boston Omaha's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Boston Omaha Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.27

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Boston Omaha  (NYSE:BOC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Boston Omaha Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Boston Omaha (Boston Omaha) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1601 Dodge Street, Suite 3300, Omaha, NE, USA, 68102
Boston Omaha Corp is a US-based company which invests in real estate. Its operations include its ownership of multiple billboards in Florida, Georgia, Wisconsin, and Alabama and equity method investments in several real estate companies. The company operates three separate lines of business, outdoor billboard advertising, surety insurance and related brokerage activities, and broadband services. It also engages in investments in real estate management and related activities. The company generates the majority of the revenue from billboard rentals.
Executives
Joshua Paul Weisenburger officer: Chief Financial Officer 1411 HARNEY ST. SUITE 200, OMAHA NE 68102
Jeffrey C Royal director 5420 NICHOLAS STREET, OMAHA NE 68132
Adam K Peterson 10 percent owner 1601 DODGE STREET, SUITE 3300, OMAHA NE 68102
Alexander Buffett Rozek director, 10 percent owner, officer: Co-Chief Executive Officer 292 NEWBURY ST #333, BOSTON MA 02115
Brendan Joseph Keating director 8918 SPANISH RIDGE AVENUE, SUITE 100, LAS VEGAS NV 89148
Steven Charles Mcghie officer: See Remarks BOSTON OMAHA CORPORATION, 1601 DODGE STREET, SUITE 3300, OMAHA NE 68102
David John Herman officer: See Remarks BOSTON OMAHA CORPORATION, 1601 DODGE STREET, SUITE 3300, OMAHA NE 68102
Vishnu Srinivasan director C/O BOSTON OMAHA CORPORATION, 292 NEWBURY ST. SUITE 333, BOSTON MA 02115
Kenan Frank H. Ii director C/O BOSTON OMAHA CORPORATION.,, 292 NEWBURY ST. SUITE 333, BOSTON MA 02115
Joseph Max Meisinger officer: Chief Accounting Officer BOSTON OMAHA CORPORATION, 1601 DODGE STREET, SUITE 3300, OMAHA NE 68102
Boulderado Group, Llc other: Manager is Director and Co-CEO 292 NEWBURY STREET, SUITE 333, BOSTON MA 02115
Bradford B Briner director 705 GIMGHOUL ROAD, CHAPEL HILL NC 27514
Magnolia Boc Ii, Lp 10 percent owner 1411 HARNEY ST., SUITE 200, OMAHA NE 68102
Magnolia Capital Fund, Lp 10 percent owner 1601 DODGE STREET, SUITE 3300, OMAHA NE 68102
William Scott Lafoy officer: CEO of Link Media Holdings,LLC C/O LINK MEDIA OUTDOOR, 200 MANSELL CT. EAST, BLDG 200 STE. 360, ROSWELL GA 30076