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Norwood Financial (Norwood Financial) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.15% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Norwood Financial Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Norwood Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.15%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Norwood Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Norwood Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Norwood Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Norwood Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Norwood Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Norwood Financial Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.53

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.15%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Norwood Financial  (NAS:NWFL) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Norwood Financial Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Norwood Financial (Norwood Financial) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
717 Main Street, P.O. Box 269, Honesdale, PA, USA, 18431
Norwood Financial Corp is a U.S.-based bank holding company. It offers various personal and business credit services, trust and investment products, and real estate settlement services to consumers, businesses, nonprofit organizations, and municipalities in each of the communities that the bank serves. The bank also manages automated teller machines at its branch location. It serves the Pennsylvanian counties of Wayne, Pike, Monroe, and Lackawanna, as well as Susquehanna County.
Executives
Andrew Forte director 717 MAIN STREET, HONESDALE PA 18431
James O Donnelly officer: President & CEO 717 MAIN ST, HONESDALE PA 18431
Jeffrey S Gifford director GIFFORD JEFFREY S, 717 MAIN STREET, HONESDALE PA 18431
Joseph W Adams director 717 MAIN STREET, HONESDALE PA 18431
William S Lance officer: EVP & CFO 717 MAIN STREET, HONESDALE PA 18431
John F Carmody officer: EVP & Chief Credit Officer 717 MAIN STREET, HONESDALE PA 18431
Lewis J Critelli director, officer: President & CEO P O BOX 269, 717 MAIN ST, HONESDALE PA 18431
Alexandra K Nolan director NOLAN ALEXANDRA K, 717 MAIN STREET, HONESDALE PA 18431
Robert J Mancuso officer: EVP & Chief Credit Officer 717 MAIN STREET, HONESDALE PA 18431
Vincent O'bell officer: See Remarks 717 MAIN STREET, HONESDALE PA 18431
Davis William W Jr director, officer: Chairman of the Board P O BOX 269, 717 MAIN ST, HONESDALE PA 18431
Kenneth A Phillips director P O BOX 269, 717 MAIN ST, HONESDALE PA 18431
John H Sanders officer: Senior Vice President P O BOX 269, 717 MAIN ST, HONESDALE PA 18431
Susan Campfield director 717 MAIN STREET, HONESDALE PA 18431
Meg L Hungerford director 717 MAIN STREET, HONESDALE PA 18431

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