>
Switch to:

Assurant Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.05% (As of Today)
View and export this data going back to 2004. Start your Free Trial

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Assurant's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Insurance - Specialty subindustry, Assurant's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Assurant Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Assurant's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Assurant's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Assurant Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.69

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For insurance companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=(Cash and cash equivalents + Short-term investments) / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Assurant  (NYSE:AIZ) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Assurant Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Assurant's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Assurant Business Description

Assurant logo
Industry
Financial Services » Insurance NAICS : 524298 SIC : 6411
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
55 Broadway, Suite 2901, New York, NY, USA, 10006
Assurant Inc offers a range of property-casualty, health, employee benefit, and warranty insurance to a client base made up of individuals and institutions. The company has four reportable segments namely Global Housing, Global Lifestyle, Global Preneed and Total Corporate and Other. Global Housing segment provides lender-placed homeowners, manufactured housing, flood insurance, and other related products, Global Lifestyle provides mobile device protection and related services, Global Preneed is engaged in providing pre-funded funeral insurance and annuity products whereas Total Corporate and others includes activities related to holding company primarily related to the company's frozen benefit plans. It generates a majority of its revenue from the Global Lifestyle Segment.
Executives
Dirienzo Dimitry officer: SVP, CAO, Controller C/O ASSURANT, INC. 28 LIBERTY ST. 41 F. NEW YORK NY 10005
Mergelmeyer Gene officer: EVP, COO ASSURANT, INC. 28 LIBERTY ST. 41 FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10005
Dziadzio Richard S officer: EVP and CFO C/O ALLIANCE CAPITAL 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS NEW YORK NY 10105
Luthi Francesca officer: EVP, CAO 1180 NORTH TOWN CENTER DRIVE SUITE 100 LAS VEGAS NV 89144
Rosenblum Jay officer: EVP and CLO C/O ASSURANT, INC. 28 LIBERTY ST, 41ST FL. NEW YORK NY 10005
Carter J Braxton Ii director C/O T-MOBILE US, INC. 12920 SE 38TH STREET BELLEVUE WA 98006
Jackson Lawrence V director C/O ASSURANT, INC., 28 LIBERTY ST., 41 F NEW YORK NY 10005
Redzic Ognjen director C/O ASSURANT, INC. 28 LIBERTY STREET, 41ST FL. NEW YORK NY 10005
Stein Robert W director ASSURANT, INC. ONE CHASE MANHATTAN PLAZA, 41 FL. NEW YORK NY 10005
Cento Juan director ASSURANT, INC. ONE CHASE MANHATTAN PLAZA, 41 FL. NEW YORK NY 10005
Alves Paget Leonard director SPRINT NEXTEL 6200 SPRINT PARKWAY KSOPHF0410 - 4A403 OVERLAND PARK KS 66251
Perry Debra J director 515 RIDGEWOOD AVENUE GLEN RIDGE NJ 07028
Rosen Elaine director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: ROSEN ELAINE a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Edelman Harriet director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: EDELMAN HARRIET a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Reilly Paul J director C/O ASSURANT, INC. 28 LIBERTY STREET, 41ST FL. NEW YORK NY 10005

Assurant Headlines

Get WordPress Plugins for easy affiliate links on Stock Tickers and Guru Names | Earn affiliate commissions by embedding GuruFocus Charts
GuruFocus Affiliate Program: Earn up to $400 per referral. ( Learn More)