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General Mills Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.03% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, General Mills's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, General Mills's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

General Mills Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, General Mills's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where General Mills's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



General Mills Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


General Mills  (NYSE:GIS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


General Mills Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of General Mills's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


General Mills Business Description

General Mills logo
Industry
Address
Number One General Mills Boulevard, Minneapolis, MN, USA, 55426
General Mills is a leading global packaged food company that produces snacks, cereal, convenient meals, yogurt, dough, baking mixes and ingredients, pet food, and superpremium ice cream. Its largest brands are Nature Valley, Cheerios, Old El Paso, Yoplait, Pillsbury, Betty Crocker, BLUE, and Haagen-Dazs. In fiscal 2021, 75% of its revenue was derived from the United States, although the company also operates in Canada, Europe, Australia, Asia, and Latin America. While most of General Mills' products are sold through retail stores to consumers, the company also sells products into the food-service channel and the commercial baking industry.
Executives
Walker Sean N officer: Group President NUMBER ONE GENERAL MILLS BLVD MINNEAPOLIS MN 55426
Church John R officer: Chief SC & GBS Officer ONE GENERAL MILLS BLVD MINNEAPOLIS MN 55426
Nudi Jonathon officer: Group President GENERAL MILLS, INC. ONE GENERAL MILLS BLVD MINNEAPOLIS MN 55426
Henry Maria director C/O THE HILLSHIRE BRANDS COMPANY 3500 LACEY ROAD DOWNERS GROVE IL 60515
Neal Diane L director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: NEAL DIANE L a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Jenkins Jo Ann director 2211 SOUTH 47TH STREET PHOENIX AZ 85034
Lempres Elizabeth Cahill director TWO COMMERCE SQUARE 2001 MARKET STREET, SUITE 3600 PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Uribe Jorge A. director 5 WESTBROOK CORPORATE CENTER WESTCHESTER IL 60154
Cordani David director CIGNA CORPORATION 900 COTTAGE GROVE ROAD BLOOMFIELD CT 06002
Odland Stephen A director ONE GENERAL MILLS BLVD M03-08 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55426
Clark R Kerry director C/O THE PROCTER & GAMBLE COMPANY ONE PROCTER & GAMBLE PLAZA CINCINNATI OH 45202
Sastre Maria director C/O DARDEN RESTAURANTS, INC. 1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE ORLANDO FL 32837
Sprunk Eric D director ONE BOWERMAN DRIVE BEAVERTON OR 97005
Ferguson Roger W. Jr. director INTERNATIONAL FLAVORS & FRAGRANCES INC. 521 WEST 57TH STREET NEW YORK NY 10019
Ogrady Shawn P officer: Group President ONE GENERAL MILLS BLVD MINNEAPOLIS MN 55426

General Mills Headlines

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