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OncoCyte (NAS:OCX) Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 12.82% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, OncoCyte's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 12.82%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Biotechnology subindustry, OncoCyte's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

OncoCyte Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, OncoCyte's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where OncoCyte's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls in comparison to its industry or sector. The grey bar indicates the Probability of Financial Distress (%)'s extreme value range as defined by GuruFocus.



OncoCyte Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-1.92

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=12.82%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


OncoCyte  (NAS:OCX) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


OncoCyte Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of OncoCyte's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


OncoCyte (NAS:OCX) Business Description

OncoCyte logo
Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » OncoCyte Corp (NAS:OCX) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
15 Cushing, Irvine, CA, USA, 92618
OncoCyte Corp focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel, non-invasive, liquid biopsy diagnostics for the early detection of cancer. The company develops diagnostic tests based on liquid biopsies using blood or urine samples for detecting lung, bladder, and breast cancers. In addition, it also develops screening diagnostics as potential replacements for screening imaging procedures that do not meet the needs of patients, health care providers or payers. Geographically operation of the group is carried through the United States, and it earns revenue from the sale of diagnostic tests.
Executives
Paulsen Gisela officer: Chief Operating Officer 5505 ENDEAVOR LANE MADISON WI 53719
Yu Li officer: VP Cntrllr/Prncpl Acctng Offcr 120 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE. NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Carter Jennifer L. director C/O DFP SPONSOR LLC 780 THIRD AVENUE, 37TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10017
Ross Douglas T. officer: Chief Medical Officer 15 CUSHING IRVINE CA 92618
Kamen Efrem 10 percent owner C/O PURA VIDA INVESTMENTS, LLC 512 W 22ND STREET, 7TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10011
Pura Vida Investments, Llc 10 percent owner 512 W 22ND STREET 7TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10011
Kalajian Tony T officer: SVP-Chief Accounting Officer 1010 ATLANTIC AVENUE SUITE 102 ALAMEDA CA 94501
Griffith Melinda director 1010 ATLANTIC AVENUE SUITE 102 ALAMEDA CA 94501
Sundar Padma officer: SVP, Marketing & Market Access 1010 ATLANTIC AVENUE SUITE 102 ALAMEDA CA 94501
Andrews Ronald Asbury director 5791 VAN ALLEN WAY CARLSBAD CA 92008
Parker Albert P officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O ONCOCYTE CORPORATION 1010 ATLANTIC AVENUE, SUITE 102 ALAMEDA CA 94501
Levine Mitchell S officer: Chief Financial Officer ONE FERRY BUILDING, SUITE 255 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Hesterberg Lyndal K. officer: Sr VP, Research & Development 1010 ATLANTIC AVENUE SUITE 102 ALAMEDA CA 94501
Bailey Don M director 1300 N. KELLOGG DRIVE SUITE D ANAHEIM CA 92607
Bradsher Neal C 10 percent owner

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