GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Interactive Media » Vivid Seats Inc (NAS:SEAT) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

SEAT (Vivid Seats) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.15% (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2021. Start your Free Trial

What is Vivid Seats Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Vivid Seats's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.15%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Vivid Seats's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Internet Content & Information subindustry, Vivid Seats's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vivid Seats's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, Vivid Seats's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vivid Seats's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Vivid Seats Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.49

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.15%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Vivid Seats  (NAS:SEAT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Vivid Seats Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Vivid Seats's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Vivid Seats Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
24 East Washington Street, Suite 900, Chicago, IL, USA, 60602
Vivid Seats Inc is an online ticket marketplace for connecting fans to live events and artists. It is the official ticketing partner of brands in the entertainment industry providing tickets for sports, concerts, theatres, and comedy events in the United States, Canada and Japan. It operates in two segments namely marketplace and resale.
Executives
Emily T Epstein officer: General Counsel 101 MERRITT 7, NORWALK CT 06851
Edward Pickus officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O VIVID SEATS INC., 111 N. CANAL STREET, SUITE 800, CHICAGO IL 60606
Riva Bakal officer: SVP, Strategy & Product C/O VIVID SEATS INC., 111 N. CANAL STREET, SUITE 800, CHICAGO IL 60606
Jonathan Miles Wagner officer: Chief Technology Officer C/O VIVID SEATS INC., 111 N. CANAL STREET, SUITE 800, CHICAGO IL 60606
Hoya Topco, Llc 10 percent owner C/O KIRKLAND & ELLIS LLP, 555 CALIFORNIA STREET, SUITE 2700, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Craig A. Dixon director C/O VIVID SEATS INC., 111 N. CANAL STREET, SUITE 800, CHICAGO IL 60606
David E. Morris officer: General Counsel C/O VIVID SEATS INC., 111 N. CANAL STREET, SUITE 800, CHICAGO IL 60606
Sbt Investors Llc 10 percent owner 600 STEAMBOAT ROAD, SUITE 200, GREENWICH CT 06830
Todd L Boehly director, 10 percent owner 600 STEAMBOAT ROAD, GREENWICH CT 06830
Eldridge Industries, Llc 10 percent owner 600 STEAMBOAT ROAD, GREENWICH CT 06830
Horizon Sponsor, Llc 10 percent owner 600 STEAMBOAT ROAD, SUITE 200, GREENWICH CT 06830
Jane E. Deflorio director 3000 N.W. 107TH AVENUE, MIAMI FL 33172
Post Portfolio Trust, Llc 10 percent owner 600 STEAMBOAT ROAD, SUITE 200, GREENWICH CT 06830
Security Benefit Life Insurance Co /ks/ 10 percent owner ONE SECURITY BENEFIT PLACE, TOPEKA KS 66636-0001
Julie D. Masino director C/O VIVID SEATS INC., 111 N. CANAL STREET, SUITE 800, CHICAGO IL 60606