What is Asia Cork Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Asia Cork's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of Asia Cork's Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances subindustry, Asia Cork's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Asia Cork's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Industry
For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Asia Cork's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Asia Cork's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Asia Cork Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
Asia Cork Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Asia Cork Incorporated formerly known as Hankersen International Corp., was incorporated under the laws of the State of Delaware on August 1, 1996. On July 11, 2008, the Company's wholly owned subsidiary, Asia Cork Inc., was merged into its parent, the Company, in order to change the name of the Company, after approval by the Board of Directors of the Company according to the Delaware General Corporation Law. As permitted by Delaware General Corporation Law, the Company assumed the name of its wholly owned subsidiary following the merger and now operates under the name Asia Cork Inc. The Company through its subsidiaries is engaged in the development, manufacture and distribution of cork products including cork wood floor, wall and decorating materials. It produces approximately seven series of cork flooring planks with over approximately 50 different patterns, colors and granules. It produces approximately 16 types of cork wallboard and approximately three types of cork art crafts with different patterns. It products include Cork Granule, Cork Sheet and Roll, Glue-down Floor, Floating Floor, Cork Wallboard and Basic Board. All these products utilize staining technology to create different colors. Its cork art crafts include ornaments and decorations. Wallboard could also be used as decorative material. It also sells semi-finished cork products to other manufacturers which use cork granule and sheet roll as raw materials. Cork granule comes in varies sizes and is the early stage of cork material processing. It sells its products directly to customers in China through its own sales team, and it distributes its products to customers overseas through unrelated distributors and sales agents. The countries in which its products were distributed through these sales agents include India, the United States of America, Germany and Japan. The Company competes with Portugal cork manufacturers as its major product is cork stopper used for wine bottles, which usually accounts for one third of its total sales and even higher percentage of profit. Domestically, the Company competes with local mid-sized cork manufacturers. These companies' products are semi-finished cork boards, sheets and roles.
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