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Asia Cork (STU:6A3) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : €0.54 (As of Sep. 21, 2024)


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What is Asia Cork Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-09-21), Asia Cork's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is €0.54.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Asia Cork's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Asia Cork is 98.15%.

The industry rank for Asia Cork's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

STU:6A3's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry.
Industry Median: 0.84
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Asia Cork Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Asia Cork's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Asia Cork Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Asia Cork Annual Data
Trend Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Asia Cork Semi-Annual Data
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Competitive Comparison of Asia Cork's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances subindustry, Asia Cork's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Asia Cork's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Industry

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Asia Cork's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Asia Cork's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Asia Cork Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 10%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 3.74%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Asia Cork's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = €0.043.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Asia Cork's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.1) = 0.95454545454545
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.1) = 0.94545454545455

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.043*12.485
=0.54

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(0.54-0.01)/0.54
=98.15 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Asia Cork  (STU:6A3) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Asia Cork Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Asia Cork Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Website
Asia Cork Incorporated formerly known as Hankersen International Corp., was incorporated under the laws of the State of Delaware on August 1, 1996. On July 11, 2008, the Company's wholly owned subsidiary, Asia Cork Inc., was merged into its parent, the Company, in order to change the name of the Company, after approval by the Board of Directors of the Company according to the Delaware General Corporation Law. As permitted by Delaware General Corporation Law, the Company assumed the name of its wholly owned subsidiary following the merger and now operates under the name Asia Cork Inc. The Company through its subsidiaries is engaged in the development, manufacture and distribution of cork products including cork wood floor, wall and decorating materials. It produces approximately seven series of cork flooring planks with over approximately 50 different patterns, colors and granules. It produces approximately 16 types of cork wallboard and approximately three types of cork art crafts with different patterns. It products include Cork Granule, Cork Sheet and Roll, Glue-down Floor, Floating Floor, Cork Wallboard and Basic Board. All these products utilize staining technology to create different colors. Its cork art crafts include ornaments and decorations. Wallboard could also be used as decorative material. It also sells semi-finished cork products to other manufacturers which use cork granule and sheet roll as raw materials. Cork granule comes in varies sizes and is the early stage of cork material processing. It sells its products directly to customers in China through its own sales team, and it distributes its products to customers overseas through unrelated distributors and sales agents. The countries in which its products were distributed through these sales agents include India, the United States of America, Germany and Japan. The Company competes with Portugal cork manufacturers as its major product is cork stopper used for wine bottles, which usually accounts for one third of its total sales and even higher percentage of profit. Domestically, the Company competes with local mid-sized cork manufacturers. These companies' products are semi-finished cork boards, sheets and roles.

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