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Pubang Landscape Architecture Co (SZSE:002663) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Mar. 31, 2025)


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What is Pubang Landscape Architecture Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Pubang Landscape Architecture Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Pubang Landscape Architecture Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Pubang Landscape Architecture Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Pubang Landscape Architecture Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Pubang Landscape Architecture Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Pubang Landscape Architecture Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


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Pubang Landscape Architecture Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.95

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Pubang Landscape Architecture Co  (SZSE:002663) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Pubang Landscape Architecture Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Pubang Landscape Architecture Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Si You Xin Ma Lunan Street Lan, Yuexiu District, Guangzhou, Guangdong, CHN
Pubang Landscape Architecture Co Ltd is engaged in the construction and operation of ecological environment projects. The company operates through the following business fields - ecological landscape, environmental protection business, and people's livelihood. An ecological landscape business primarily focuses on the planning and design, construction, seedling planting and green conservation activities.
Executives
Ceng Wei Xiong Directors, executives
Ye Jin Feng Directors, executives
Yang Guo Long Executives
Huang Qing He Director
Tan Guang Wen Executives
Guo Pei Jin Executives
Qu Jin Xiong Executives
Tu Shan Zhong Director
Chen Jia Yi Securities Affairs Representative
Ma Li Da Directors, executives
Wan Ling Ling Supervisors
Ceng Zhu Executives
Wu Sui Hai Executives
Quan Xiao Yan Directors, executives
Lin Yi Wen Executives

Pubang Landscape Architecture Co Headlines

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