What is PWC Capital Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, PWC Capital's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of PWC Capital's Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Banks - Regional subindustry, PWC Capital's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
PWC Capital's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Banks Industry
For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, PWC Capital's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where PWC Capital's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
PWC Capital Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 50.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
PWC Capital (TSX:PWC.PR.A.PFD) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
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Address
Pacific & Western Credit Corp is a holding company. The Company's wholly-owned and main subsidiary is Pacific & Western Bank of Canada, which provides financial solutions to clients in selected niche markets. The Bank receives deposits through a diversified network of deposit brokers and is a member institution of the Canada Deposit Insurance Corporation ('CDIC'). The Bank invests these funds in loans, leases, commercial mortgages, residential development mortgages, equity and debt of corporations, and government guaranteed securities, all of which are selected to provide lower returns on equity but with limited risk of default. The Bank has two main business activities, namely deposit services and lending services. Deposit services are located in Saskatoon, Saskatchewan. Deposits, consisting of guaranteed investment certificates and daily interest savings accounts, eligible for CDIC insurance, are raised through a diversified network of deposit brokers across Canada. The Bank's business is comprised of three core lending segments, being real estate lending, public sector lending and commercial lending. The Bank's real estate lending portfolio is organized into four categories, being land and construction loans, residential term mortgages, commercial term mortgages, and insured mortgages. The Bank provides land and construction loans, residential term mortgages, commercial term mortgages, and insured mortgages.
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