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Invesco Seniorome Trust (Invesco Seniorome Trust) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Invesco Seniorome Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Invesco Seniorome Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Invesco Seniorome Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Invesco Seniorome Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Invesco Seniorome Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Invesco Seniorome Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Invesco Seniorome Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


Invesco Seniorome Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.04

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=(Balance Sheet Cash And Cash Equivalents + Money Market Investments) / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Invesco Seniorome Trust  (NYSE:VVR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Invesco Seniorome Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Invesco Seniorome Trust (Invesco Seniorome Trust) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » Invesco Senior Income Trust (NYSE:VVR) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Comparable Companies
EOI FAX FFC PFLT HTD CCAP TCPC TRIN BOE ECC BLK BX OSTO:INVE A TSX:BN KKR APO BK AMP XSWX:PGHN LSE:III
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1555 Peachtree Street, N.E., Suite 1800, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30309
Website
https://www.invesco.com
Invesco Senior Income Trust is a diversified, closed-end management investment company. The investment objective of the company is to provide a high level of current income, consistent with the preservation of capital. The company invests primarily in a portfolio of interests in floating or variable senior loans to corporations, partnerships, and other entities which operate in a variety of industries and geographic regions.
Executives
Glenn Eugene Brightman officer: President & PEO 570 CARILLON PARKWAY, ST. PETERSBURG FL 33716
Stephanie Butcher officer: Senior Vice President 1555 PEACHTREE ST. NE, ATLANTA GA 30309
Tony Wong director, officer: Senior Vice President 1331 SPRING STREET NW, SUITE 2500, ATLANTA GA 30309
Melanie Ringold officer: SVP, CLO and Secretary 1555 PEACHTREE STREE NE, SUITE 1800, ATLANTA GA 30309
Terry Vacheron officer: Chief Financial Officer 1555 PEACHTREE ST. NE, SUITE 1800, ATLANTA GA 30309
Bordewick James R Jr officer: Senior Officer & SVP C/O BANC OF AMERICA INVESTMENT ADVISORS, 100 FEDERAL STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Antonio Reina officer: Secretary 1555 PEACHTREE STREET NE SUITE 1800, ATLANTA GA 30309
Benjamin Gruder officer: Co-CAO 1555 PEACHTREE STREET, NE SUITE 1800, ATLANTA GA 30309
Josh E Levit officer: Chief Compliance Officer 1555 PEACHTREE STREET NE SUITE 1800, ATLANTA GA 30309
Adrien Deberghes officer: Vice President,PFO & Treasurer 1555 PEACHTREE STREET NE SUITE 1800, ATLANTA GA 30309
Haley S Waldron officer: Chief Accounting Officer 1555 PEACHTREE STREET NE SUITE 1800, ATLANTA GA 30309
Laura Allison Dukes officer: SMD and CFO 780 JOHNSON FERRY ROAD, SUITE 800, ATLANTA GA 30342
Tara Mcaleer officer: Chief Compliance Officer 1555 PEACHTREE STREET NE, ATLANTA GA 30309
Loren M Starr director
Stephen William Swanson officer: Secretary and General Counsel 1555 PEACHTREE STREET NE, ATLANTA GA 30309