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Moatech Co (XKRX:033200) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Mar. 15, 2025)


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What is Moatech Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Moatech Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Moatech Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Electronic Components subindustry, Moatech Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Moatech Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Moatech Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Moatech Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Moatech Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-11.17

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Moatech Co  (XKRX:033200) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Moatech Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Moatech Co Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Moatech Co Ltd (XKRX:033200) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
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Address
92 Guwol-1Dong, Namdong-gu, Incheon, KOR, 405-827
Moatech Co Ltd manufactures and sells electrical components for home, automobile, office automation, and other instrument applications in South Korea and internationally. The firm offers HVAC step actuators, VAPS fan motors, active in-car sensors, linear step actuators, linear step motors, stepping motors, brushless DC motors, adaptive front-light system step actuators, adjustable electric thermostat step actuators, refrigerant control valves, solenoids, linear expansion valves, dampers, and IRIS meters. Its products are used in digital cameras and camcorders, AV devices, HAVC, air conditioners, refrigerators, boilers, actuators, fan motors, computer devices, printing devices, and medical instruments.

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