Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Zuger Kantonalbank AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Zuger Kantonalbank AG (XSWX:ZUGER) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Zuger Kantonalbank AG Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
Zuger Kantonalbank AG Probability of Financial Distress (%) Competitor Comparison
For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Zuger Kantonalbank AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Zuger Kantonalbank AG Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Banks Industry
For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Zuger Kantonalbank AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Zuger Kantonalbank AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Zuger Kantonalbank AG Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-7.65
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.05% mean?
Zuger Kantonalbank AG (XSWX:ZUGER) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.05% as of Jun. 24, 2026.
Is Zuger Kantonalbank AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Zuger Kantonalbank AG's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%. Overall, Zuger Kantonalbank AG has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Zuger Kantonalbank AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to competitors?
Zuger Kantonalbank AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.05% can be compared against companies in the Banks industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Banks company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Banks industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Zuger Kantonalbank AG's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Zuger Kantonalbank AG stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Zuger Kantonalbank AG (XSWX:ZUGER) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF9,698.55, compared to a current price of CHF10,300.00 — trading 6.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%. Zuger Kantonalbank AG's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Zuger Kantonalbank AG (XSWX:ZUGER), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Zuger Kantonalbank AG (XSWX:ZUGER) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Zuger Kantonalbank AG stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of CHF10,300.00 is trading 6.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF9,698.55.
GuruFocus considers Zuger Kantonalbank AG to be Fairly Valued.
Key valuation signals for XSWX:ZUGER:
Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.05%
GF Value™: CHF9,698.55 vs. price of CHF10,300.00 (6.2% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:ZUGER stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Zuger Kantonalbank AG is a cantonal, universal Swiss bank. The canton of Zug is the majority shareholder with just over half of the outstanding shares. The cantonal government also guarantees state protection of funds deposited with the bank. The bank's operations include retail banking, private banking, and corporate banking. Most of its products and services cater to residents in the canton of Zug. Products and offerings include traditional banking services, home financing, financial planning, asset management, corporate and real estate financing, pension planning, and succession planning. Most of the bank's net revenue consists of net interest income derived from mortgages.
66GF Score
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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