GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » USA » NYSE » Capital One Financial Corp (NYSE:COF) » Definitions » Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Switch to:

Capital One Financial (NYSE:COF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 39.99% (As of Sep. 2023)
View and export this data going back to 1994. Start your Free Trial

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Capital One Financial's forward rate of return for was 39.99%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Capital One Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

COF' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 21.22   Med: 30.57   Max: 69.28
Current: 30.37

During the past 13 years, Capital One Financial's highest Forward Rate of Return was 69.28. The lowest was 21.22. And the median was 30.57.

COF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
87.95% of 365 companies
in the Credit Services industry
Industry Median: 5.44 vs COF: 30.37

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Capital One Financial Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Capital One Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Capital One Financial Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 31.59 35.38 28.66 40.59 -

Capital One Financial Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 40.59 38.79 35.16 39.99 -

Competitive Comparison

For the Credit Services subindustry, Capital One Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Capital One Financial Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, Capital One Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Capital One Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Capital One Financial Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Capital One Financial's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year Book Value Growth Rate
=32.28057143/131.12+0.0508
=29.70 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Capital One Financial  (NYSE:COF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Capital One Financial Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Capital One Financial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Capital One Financial (NYSE:COF) Business Description

Address
1680 Capital One Drive, McLean, VA, USA, 22102
Capital One is a diversified financial services holding company headquartered in McLean, Virginia. Originally a spinoff of Signet Financial's credit card division in 1994, the company is now primarily involved in credit card lending, auto loans, and commercial lending.
Executives
Laprade,iii Frank G. officer: Chief Enterprise Srvcs Officer 1680 CAPITAL ONE DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Robert M. Alexander officer: Chief Information Officer 1680 CAPITAL ONE DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Ann F Hackett director
Richard D Fairbank director, officer: Chairman, CEO and President 1680 CAPITAL ONE DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Kara West officer: Chief Audit Officer 1680 CAPITAL ONE DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Kevin S. Borgmann officer: Chief Risk Officer 1680 CAPITAL ONE DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Mark Daniel Mouadeb officer: President, U.S. Card 1680 CAPITAL ONE DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Neal Blinde officer: EC, Commercial Banking 1680 CAPITAL ONE DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Timothy P Golden officer: Controller 1680 CAPITAL ONE DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Michael Zamsky officer: Chief Consumer Credit Officer 1680 CAPITAL ONE DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Ravi Raghu officer: Pres, Software, Intl & Sm Bus 1680 CAPITAL ONE DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Sheldon Hall officer: Chief Risk Officer 1680 CAPITAL ONE DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Kaitlin Haggerty officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 1680 CAPITAL ONE DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Peter E Raskind director NATIONAL CITY CORP, 1900 EAST NINTH STREET, CLEVELAND OH 44114-3484
Matthew W Cooper officer: General Counsel 1680 CAPITAL ONE DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102