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Elevance Health (NYSE:ELV) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 17.84% (As of Dec. 2023)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Elevance Health's forward rate of return for was 17.84%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Elevance Health's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

ELV' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 5.9   Med: 15.79   Max: 22.49
Current: 17.41

During the past 13 years, Elevance Health's highest Forward Rate of Return was 22.49. The lowest was 5.90. And the median was 15.79.

ELV's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
69.23% of 13 companies
in the Healthcare Plans industry
Industry Median: 15.97 vs ELV: 17.41

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Elevance Health Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Elevance Health's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Elevance Health Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.37 15.75 16.52 19.00 17.84

Elevance Health Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.00 20.23 19.99 19.86 17.84

Competitive Comparison

For the Healthcare Plans subindustry, Elevance Health's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Elevance Health Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Healthcare Plans industry and Healthcare sector, Elevance Health's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Elevance Health's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Elevance Health Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Elevance Health's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=27.65295238/471.56+0.1176
=17.62 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Elevance Health  (NYSE:ELV) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Elevance Health Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Elevance Health's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Elevance Health (NYSE:ELV) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
220 Virginia Avenue, Indianapolis, IN, USA, 46204
Elevance Health remains one of the leading health insurers in the U.S., providing medical benefits to 48 million medical members as of June 2023. The company offers employer, individual, and government-sponsored coverage plans. Elevance differs from its peers in its unique position as the largest single provider of Blue Cross Blue Shield branded coverage, operating as the licensee for the Blue Cross Blue Shield Association in 14 states. Through acquisitions, such as the Amerigroup deal in 2012 and MMM in 2021, Elevance's reach expands beyond those states through government-sponsored programs such as Medicaid and Medicare Advantage plans, too.
Executives
Blair Williams Todt officer: EVP and Chief Legal Officer 8735 HENDERSON ROAD, TAMPA FL 33625
Ronald W Penczek officer: SVP, Chief Accounting Officer 120 MONUMENT CIRCLE, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Mark Kaye officer: EVP & CFO Designate 7 WORLD TRADE CENTER, 250 GREENWICH ST, NEW YORK NY 10007
Dixon Robert L Jr director 120 MONUMENT CIRCLE, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Gloria M Mccarthy officer: EVP, Office of the CEO WELLPOINT, INC, 120 MONUMENT CIRCLE, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Kendrick Charles Morgan Jr officer: EVP & President, Commercial 220 VIRGINIA AVE, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Deanna D Strable-soethout director C/O PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP, 711 HIGH ST., DES MOINES IA 50392
Ramiro G Peru director WELLPOINT, INC, 120 MONUMENT CIRCLE, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46260
Peter D Haytaian officer: EVP & Pres., Govt. Bus. Div. 220 VIRGINIA AVE, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Susan D. Devore director C/O PREMIER, INC., 13034 BALLANTYNE CORPORATE PLACE, CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Ryan M. Schneider director 1680 CAPITAL ONE DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
John E Gallina officer: SVP & Chief Accounting Officer 120 MONUMENT CIRCLE, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Julie A Hill director WELLPOINT, INC, 120 MONUMENT CIRCLE, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Thomas C Zielinski officer: EVP & General Counsel
Jeffrey D. Alter officer: EVP, IngenioRx & Anthem Health 4330 LA JOLLA VILLAGE DRIVE, SUITE 200, SAN DIEGO CA 92122