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Value Line Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 23.76% (As of Jul. 2021)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Value Line's forward rate of return for was 23.76%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Value Line's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

NAS:VALU' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -17.63   Med: 0.48   Max: 23.93
Current: 23.76

-17.63
23.93

During the past 13 years, Value Line's highest Forward Rate of Return was 23.93. The lowest was -17.63. And the median was 0.48.

NAS:VALU's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked lower than
67% of the 18 Companies
in the Capital Markets industry.

( Industry Median: 3.55 vs. NAS:VALU: 23.76 )

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Value Line Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Value Line's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Value Line Annual Data
Trend Apr12 Apr13 Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.66 -4.47 -2.69 10.45 23.01

Value Line Quarterly Data
Oct16 Jan17 Apr17 Jul17 Oct17 Jan18 Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.25 18.41 20.85 23.01 23.76

Competitive Comparison

For the Financial Data & Stock Exchanges subindustry, Value Line's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Value Line Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Value Line's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Value Line's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Value Line Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Value Line's Forward Rate of Return of Jul. 2021 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=1.20266667/32+0.2
=23.76 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Value Line  (NAS:VALU) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Value Line Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Value Line's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Value Line Business Description

Value Line logo
Industry
Financial Services » Capital Markets NAICS : 523210 SIC : 7323
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
551 Fifth Avenue, 3rd Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10176-0001
Value Line Inc is a U.S based company. It produces investment periodicals based on underlying research and making available copyright data, including ranking system and other information, to third parties under written agreements for use in third-party managed and marketed investment products and for other purposes. The company markets under well-known brands including Value Line, the Value Line logo, The Value Line Investment Survey, Smart Research, Smarter Investing and The Most Trusted Name in Investment Research. Its only operating segment being Publishing.
Executives
Fiore Alfred R director 1 ANGORA ROAD WESTPORT CT 06880
Brecher Howard A director, officer: Chairman and CEO VALUE LINE 220 E 42ND ST SUITE 600 NEW YORK NY 10017
Anastasio Stephen director, officer: Vice President and Treasurer 220 E 42ND STREET NEW YORK NY 10017
Muenzer Glenn J. director 357 HARVARD COURT EAST MEADOW NY 11554
Reed William Edward director 12 KNORR STREET NORWALK CT 06854
Bernstein Mary director 220 E 42ND STREET NEW YORK NY 10017
Davis Stephen P director 57 EAST 95TH STREET NEW YORK NY 10128
Sarkany Thomas director, officer: Secretary 220 EAST 42ND STREET 6TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10017
Perkins, Robert M. director 220 EAST 42ND STREET, 6TH FLOOR NEW YORK CITY NY 10017
Legon, Ruth O. director 220 EAST 42ND STREET, 6TH FLOOR NEW YORK CITY NY 10017
Appel Mitchell Eric officer: Chief Financial Officer VALUE LINE INC 220 EAST 42ND STREET 6TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10017
Arnold Bernhard & Co Inc 10 percent owner 220 EAST 42ND STREET 6TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10017
Eakman Janet director 220 E 42ND STREET NEW YORK NY 10017
Shanahan Edward J director 220 EAST 42 STREET NEW YORK NY 10017
Asher Marianne B director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: ASHER MARIANNE B a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
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