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Progressive (BSP:P1GR34) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : R$24.99 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Progressive Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Progressive's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was R$19.643. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is R$24.99 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

During the past 12 months, Progressive's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 19.50% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 20.50% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 20.20% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 16.30% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Progressive was 27.30% per year. The lowest was -0.10% per year. And the median was 15.00% per year.

As of today (2024-04-30), Progressive's current stock price is R$526.77. Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was R$24.99. Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 21.08.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Progressive was 20.74. The lowest was 8.83. And the median was 14.53.


Progressive Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Progressive Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Progressive Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 13.52 20.71 21.92 24.99

Progressive Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 23.01 22.79 25.48 24.99 -

Competitive Comparison of Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Progressive Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Progressive's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=19.643/129.4194*129.4194
=19.643

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

Progressive Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201403 2.507 99.695 3.254
201406 1.322 100.560 1.701
201409 2.313 100.428 2.981
201412 0.150 99.070 0.196
201503 3.981 99.621 5.172
201506 3.312 100.684 4.257
201509 4.621 100.392 5.957
201512 0.584 99.792 0.757
201603 4.829 100.470 6.220
201606 4.082 101.688 5.195
201609 3.625 101.861 4.606
201612 2.323 101.863 2.951
201703 5.734 102.862 7.214
201706 4.967 103.349 6.220
201709 6.226 104.136 7.738
201712 2.744 104.011 3.414
201803 9.582 105.290 11.778
201806 10.750 106.317 13.086
201809 11.595 106.507 14.089
201812 6.501 105.998 7.937
201903 11.738 107.251 14.164
201906 9.058 108.070 10.847
201909 11.793 108.329 14.089
201912 7.315 108.420 8.732
202003 13.016 108.902 15.468
202006 19.479 108.767 23.178
202009 12.990 109.815 15.309
202012 13.142 109.897 15.477
202103 24.618 111.754 28.509
202106 19.503 114.631 22.019
202109 20.514 115.734 22.940
202112 3.827 117.630 4.211
202203 20.619 121.301 21.999
202206 11.411 125.017 11.813
202209 17.139 125.227 17.713
202212 7.886 125.222 8.150
202303 21.352 127.348 21.699
202306 18.576 128.729 18.676
202309 28.440 129.860 28.344
202312 19.643 129.419 19.643

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Progressive  (BSP:P1GR34) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=526.77/24.99
=21.08

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Progressive was 20.74. The lowest was 8.83. And the median was 14.53.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Progressive Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Progressive (BSP:P1GR34) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
6300 Wilson Mills Road, Mayfield Village, OH, USA, 44143
Progressive underwrites private and commercial auto insurance and specialty lines; it has about 18 million personal auto policies in force and is one of the largest auto insurers in the United States. Progressive markets its policies through independent insurance agencies in the U.S. and Canada and directly via the internet and telephone. Its premiums are split roughly equally between the agent and the direct channel. The company also offers commercial auto policies and entered homeowners insurance through an acquisition in 2015.

Progressive (BSP:P1GR34) Headlines

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