BXMT (Blackstone Mortgage Trust) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $2.83 (As of Mar. 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

BXMT Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc BXMT
60 GF Score
Price $17.08
GF Value $18.00
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Blackstone Mortgage Trust Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Blackstone Mortgage Trust BXMT -1.78% 60 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $2.83 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates BXMT with a GF Score™ of 60/100 and a GF Value™ of $18.00 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Blackstone Mortgage Trust's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $1.004. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $2.83 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 2.50% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -2.60% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -18.60% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Blackstone Mortgage Trust was 69.50% per year. The lowest was -29.30% per year. And the median was 0.30% per year.

As of today (2026-07-18), Blackstone Mortgage Trust's current stock price is $17.08. Blackstone Mortgage Trust's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $2.83. Blackstone Mortgage Trust's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 6.04.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Blackstone Mortgage Trust was 12.59. The lowest was 1.69. And the median was 6.53.


Blackstone Mortgage Trust  (NYSE:BXMT) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Blackstone Mortgage Trust's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=17.08/2.83
=6.04

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Blackstone Mortgage Trust was 12.59. The lowest was 1.69. And the median was 6.53.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Blackstone Mortgage Trust Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Blackstone Mortgage Trust Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Blackstone Mortgage Trust's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.55 2.57 2.74 2.81 2.77

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.83 2.93 2.80 2.77 2.83

BXMT vs DX, ARR, EFC: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the REIT - Mortgage subindustry, Blackstone Mortgage Trust's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Blackstone Mortgage Trust Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Blackstone Mortgage Trust's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Blackstone Mortgage Trust's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


BXMT
60GF Score
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc BXMT
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Blackstone Mortgage Trust's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=1.004/330.2130*330.2130
=1.004

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 0.611 241.018 0.837
201609 0.683 241.428 0.934
201612 0.520 241.432 0.711
201703 0.604 243.801 0.818
201706 0.562 244.955 0.758
201709 0.692 246.819 0.926
201712 0.515 246.524 0.690
201803 0.670 249.554 0.887
201806 0.572 251.989 0.750
201809 0.755 252.439 0.988
201812 0.553 251.233 0.727
201903 0.624 254.202 0.811
201906 0.629 256.143 0.811
201909 0.531 256.759 0.683
201912 0.559 256.974 0.718
202003 0.506 258.115 0.647
202006 0.774 257.797 0.991
202009 0.584 260.280 0.741
202012 0.513 260.474 0.650
202103 0.564 264.877 0.703
202106 0.559 271.696 0.679
202109 0.601 274.310 0.723
202112 0.786 278.802 0.931
202203 0.513 287.504 0.589
202206 0.505 296.311 0.563
202209 0.448 296.808 0.498
202212 0.759 296.797 0.844
202303 0.606 301.836 0.663
202306 0.697 305.109 0.754
202309 0.649 307.789 0.696
202312 0.643 306.746 0.692
202403 0.544 312.332 0.575
202406 0.576 314.175 0.605
202409 0.502 315.301 0.526
202412 0.487 315.605 0.510
202503 0.584 319.799 0.603
202506 0.333 322.561 0.341
202509 -0.106 324.800 -0.108
202512 0.811 324.054 0.826
202603 1.004 330.213 1.004

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $2.83 mean?
Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $2.83 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Blackstone Mortgage Trust and its competitors.
Is Blackstone Mortgage Trust's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Blackstone Mortgage Trust's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $2.83. Overall, Blackstone Mortgage Trust has a GF Score™ of 60/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Blackstone Mortgage Trust's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to DX and ARR?
Blackstone Mortgage Trust's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $2.83 can be compared against companies in the REITs industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a REITs company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the REITs industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Blackstone Mortgage Trust and its competitors. Blackstone Mortgage Trust's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $2.83. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Blackstone Mortgage Trust stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $18.00, compared to a current price of $17.08 — trading 5.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $2.83. Blackstone Mortgage Trust's overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $2.83 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Blackstone Mortgage Trust stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $17.08 is trading 5.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of $18.00. GuruFocus considers Blackstone Mortgage Trust to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for BXMT:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $2.83
  • GF Value™: $18.00 vs. price of $17.08 (5.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 60/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BXMT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Blackstone Mortgage Trust Business Description

Industry Real EstateREITs
Other Exchanges 079A:Germany
Address 345 Park Avenue, 24th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10154
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc is an externally managed real estate finance company that originates, acquires, and manages senior loans and other debt or credit-oriented investments collateralized by or relating to commercial real estate in North America, Europe, and Australia. Its portfolio is composed of senior loans secured by high-quality, institutional assets located in main markets, and sponsored by experienced, well-capitalized real estate investment owners and operators. The group finances its investments in a variety of ways, including borrowing under secured credit facilities, issuing collateralized loan obligations, or CLOs, other securitization transactions, syndicating senior loans and/or participations, and other forms of asset-level financing.
60GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BXMT

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$17.08
Price
$18.00
GF Value