Churchill Downs (FRA:CHR) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €1.58 (As of Mar. 2026)


FRA:CHR Churchill Downs Inc FRA:CHR
82 GF Score
Price €78.50
GF Value €134.86
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Churchill Downs Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Churchill Downs FRA:CHR +2.61% 82 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €1.58 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:CHR with a GF Score™ of 82/100 and a GF Value™ of €134.86. The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Churchill Downs's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was €2.916. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €1.58 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Churchill Downs's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 21.50% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 5.70% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 6.40% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 7.20% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Churchill Downs was 79.70% per year. The lowest was -15.40% per year. And the median was 9.50% per year.

As of today (2026-07-05), Churchill Downs's current stock price is €78.50. Churchill Downs's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was €1.58. Churchill Downs's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 49.68.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Churchill Downs was 116.67. The lowest was 27.32. And the median was 62.53.


Churchill Downs  (FRA:CHR) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Churchill Downs's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=78.50/1.58
=49.68

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Churchill Downs was 116.67. The lowest was 27.32. And the median was 62.53.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Churchill Downs Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Churchill Downs Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Churchill Downs's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Churchill Downs Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Churchill Downs Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.13 1.26 1.09 1.36 1.36

Churchill Downs Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.45 1.42 1.35 1.36 1.58

FRA:CHR vs LNWO, SGHC, RSI: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Gambling subindustry, Churchill Downs's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Churchill Downs Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Churchill Downs's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Churchill Downs's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


FRA:CHR
82GF Score
Churchill Downs Inc FRA:CHR
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Churchill Downs Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Churchill Downs's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=2.916/330.2130*330.2130
=2.916

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Churchill Downs Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 0.716 241.018 0.981
201609 0.089 241.428 0.122
201612 0.332 241.432 0.454
201703 0.258 243.801 0.349
201706 0.697 244.955 0.940
201709 -0.237 246.819 -0.317
201712 0.184 246.524 0.246
201803 0.204 249.554 0.270
201806 0.712 251.989 0.933
201809 -0.836 252.439 -1.094
201812 0.413 251.233 0.543
201903 0.460 254.202 0.598
201906 0.992 256.143 1.279
201909 0.153 256.759 0.197
201912 -0.232 256.974 -0.298
202003 -0.055 258.115 -0.070
202006 -0.558 257.797 -0.715
202009 -0.195 260.280 -0.247
202012 -0.193 260.474 -0.245
202103 -0.340 264.877 -0.424
202106 2.247 271.696 2.731
202109 0.371 274.310 0.447
202112 0.328 278.802 0.388
202203 0.933 287.504 1.072
202206 1.642 296.311 1.830
202209 -1.135 296.808 -1.263
202212 -0.587 296.797 -0.653
202303 0.997 301.836 1.091
202306 0.114 305.109 0.123
202309 -1.088 307.789 -1.167
202312 -0.880 306.746 -0.947
202403 1.228 312.332 1.298
202406 1.009 314.175 1.061
202409 0.529 315.301 0.554
202412 0.015 315.605 0.016
202503 2.088 319.799 2.156
202506 1.850 322.561 1.894
202509 -0.689 324.800 -0.700
202512 0.558 324.054 0.569
202603 2.916 330.213 2.916

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €1.58 mean?
Churchill Downs (FRA:CHR) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €1.58 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Churchill Downs and its competitors.
Is Churchill Downs' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Churchill Downs' current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €1.58. Overall, Churchill Downs has a GF Score™ of 82/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Churchill Downs' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to LNWO and SGHC?
Churchill Downs' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €1.58 can be compared against companies in the Travel & Leisure industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Travel & Leisure company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Travel & Leisure industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Churchill Downs and its competitors. Churchill Downs's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €1.58. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Churchill Downs stock overvalued right now?
Churchill Downs (FRA:CHR) has a current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €1.58. The stock's GF Value™ is €134.86, compared to a current price of €78.50 — trading 41.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €1.58. Churchill Downs' overall GF Score™ is 82/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Churchill Downs (FRA:CHR), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €1.58 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Churchill Downs (FRA:CHR) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Churchill Downs stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €78.50 is trading 41.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of €134.86.

Key valuation signals for FRA:CHR:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €1.58
  • GF Value™: €134.86 vs. price of €78.50 (41.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 82/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:CHR stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Churchill Downs Business Description

Address 600 North Hurstbourne Parkway, Suite 400, Louisville, KY, USA, 40222
Churchill Downs Inc is a gaming entertainment, online wagering, and racing company. It operates through three business segments: Live and Historical Racing, Wagering Services, and Gaming. The Live and Historical Racing segment includes live and historical pari-mutuel racing. The Wagering Services segment includes the revenue and expenses from pari-mutuel wagers through TwinSpires, companies retail and online sports betting business and Gaming segment includes revenue and expenses for the casino properties and associated racetracks that support the casino license. The Gaming segment generates revenue and expenses from slot machines, video lottery terminals, video poker, HRMs, ancillary food and beverage services, hotel services, commission on pari-mutuel wagering, and racing events.
82GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:CHR

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€78.50
Price
€134.86
GF Value