FXNC (First National) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $2.31 (As of Jun. 2026)

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FXNC First National Corp FXNC
64 GF Score
Price $31.80
GF Value $23.95
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is First National Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

First National FXNC -0.92% 64 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $2.31 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus rates FXNC with a GF Score™ of 64/100 and a GF Value™ of $23.95 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

First National's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was $0.717. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $2.31 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

During the past 12 months, First National's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 11.10% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -0.50% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 0.10% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 1.90% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of First National was 19.30% per year. The lowest was -0.70% per year. And the median was 3.05% per year.

As of today (2026-08-17), First National's current stock price is $31.80. First National's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was $2.31. First National's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 13.77.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of First National was 13.90. The lowest was 5.73. And the median was 9.26.


First National  (NAS:FXNC) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

First National's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=31.80/2.31
=13.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of First National was 13.90. The lowest was 5.73. And the median was 9.26.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


First National Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


First National Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for First National's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

First National Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

First National Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.98 2.19 2.28 1.94 2.16

First National Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.08 2.12 2.16 2.22 2.31

FXNC vs ATLO, HWBK, OVLY: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, First National's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


First National Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, First National's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First National's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


FXNC
64GF Score
First National Corp FXNC
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

First National Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, First National's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=0.717/333.9520*333.9520
=0.717

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

First National Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201609 0.732 241.428 1.013
201612 0.526 241.432 0.728
201703 0.518 243.801 0.710
201706 0.054 244.955 0.074
201709 0.390 246.819 0.528
201712 0.150 246.524 0.203
201803 0.838 249.554 1.121
201806 0.243 251.989 0.322
201809 0.856 252.439 1.132
201812 0.529 251.233 0.703
201903 0.523 254.202 0.687
201906 0.172 256.143 0.224
201909 0.516 256.759 0.671
201912 0.967 256.974 1.257
202003 0.643 258.115 0.832
202006 0.047 257.797 0.061
202009 1.004 260.280 1.288
202012 1.213 260.474 1.555
202103 1.018 264.877 1.283
202106 -1.180 271.696 -1.450
202109 2.008 274.310 2.445
202112 -0.750 278.802 -0.898
202203 1.350 287.504 1.568
202206 0.550 296.311 0.620
202209 0.698 296.808 0.785
202212 1.491 296.797 1.678
202303 0.700 301.836 0.774
202306 0.477 305.109 0.522
202309 0.517 307.789 0.561
202312 0.620 306.746 0.675
202403 0.700 312.332 0.748
202406 0.474 314.175 0.504
202409 0.783 315.301 0.829
202412 -4.198 315.605 -4.442
202503 0.338 319.799 0.353
202506 0.457 322.561 0.473
202509 0.757 324.800 0.778
202512 0.768 324.054 0.791
202603 0.654 330.213 0.661
202606 0.717 333.952 0.717

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $2.31 mean?
First National (FXNC) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $2.31 as of Jun. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on First National and its competitors.
Is First National's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
First National's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $2.31. Overall, First National has a GF Score™ of 64/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does First National's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to ATLO and HWBK?
First National's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $2.31 can be compared against companies in the Banks industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Banks company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Banks industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on First National and its competitors. First National's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $2.31. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is First National stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, First National (FXNC) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $23.95, compared to a current price of $31.80 — trading 32.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $2.31. First National's overall GF Score™ is 64/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For First National (FXNC), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $2.31 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is First National (FXNC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, First National stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $31.80 is trading 32.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of $23.95. GuruFocus considers First National to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FXNC:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $2.31
  • GF Value™: $23.95 vs. price of $31.80 (32.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 64/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FXNC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


First National Business Description

Address 112 West King Street, Strasburg, VA, USA, 22657
First National Corp is a bank holding company of First Bank, which is a commercial bank. Its core offering includes loans, deposits, wealth management, and other products and services. The Company operates through two reportable operating segments: Community Banking and wealth management. The Community Banking segment involves making loans and generating deposits from individuals, businesses, and charitable organizations. Wealth Management Services offers corporate trustee services, trust and estate administration, IRA administration and custody services. The company has revenue from Community Banking segment.
64GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FXNC

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$31.80
Price
$23.95
GF Value