HTH (Hilltop Holdings) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $3.18 (As of Mar. 2026)


HTH Hilltop Holdings Inc HTH
61 GF Score
Price $38.82
GF Value $35.44
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Hilltop Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Hilltop Holdings HTH -1.40% 61 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $3.18 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates HTH with a GF Score™ of 61/100 and a GF Value™ of $35.44 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Hilltop Holdings's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $-2.262. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $3.18 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Hilltop Holdings's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -10.90% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 10.60% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Hilltop Holdings was 74.00% per year. The lowest was -15.00% per year. And the median was 39.40% per year.

As of today (2026-07-04), Hilltop Holdings's current stock price is $38.82. Hilltop Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $3.18. Hilltop Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 12.21.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Hilltop Holdings was 755.00. The lowest was 7.83. And the median was 14.70.


Hilltop Holdings  (NYSE:HTH) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Hilltop Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=38.82/3.18
=12.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Hilltop Holdings was 755.00. The lowest was 7.83. And the median was 14.70.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Hilltop Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Hilltop Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Hilltop Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Hilltop Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Hilltop Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.93 2.47 2.66 3.35 3.34

Hilltop Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.57 3.15 3.55 3.34 3.18

HTH vs TMS, TREE, RILY: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Financial Conglomerates subindustry, Hilltop Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hilltop Holdings Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Diversified Financial Services Industry

For the Diversified Financial Services industry and Financial Services sector, Hilltop Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hilltop Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


HTH
61GF Score
Hilltop Holdings Inc HTH
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Hilltop Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Hilltop Holdings's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=-2.262/330.2130*330.2130
=-2.262

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Hilltop Holdings Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 -3.998 241.018 -5.478
201609 1.242 241.428 1.699
201612 0.696 241.432 0.952
201703 3.487 243.801 4.723
201706 -8.327 244.955 -11.225
201709 -0.280 246.819 -0.375
201712 1.565 246.524 2.096
201803 1.885 249.554 2.494
201806 -5.378 251.989 -7.047
201809 6.236 252.439 8.157
201812 0.674 251.233 0.886
201903 3.391 254.202 4.405
201906 -4.959 256.143 -6.393
201909 -3.988 256.759 -5.129
201912 0.402 256.974 0.517
202003 -6.632 258.115 -8.484
202006 4.978 257.797 6.376
202009 2.229 260.280 2.828
202012 2.240 260.474 2.840
202103 3.696 264.877 4.608
202106 -7.885 271.696 -9.583
202109 14.826 274.310 17.847
202112 -1.393 278.802 -1.650
202203 4.880 287.504 5.605
202206 4.792 296.311 5.340
202209 7.537 296.808 8.385
202212 -0.753 296.797 -0.838
202303 -1.687 301.836 -1.846
202306 -3.345 305.109 -3.620
202309 7.695 307.789 8.256
202312 4.002 306.746 4.308
202403 1.049 312.332 1.109
202406 -6.718 314.175 -7.061
202409 7.910 315.301 8.284
202412 1.877 315.605 1.964
202503 0.078 319.799 0.081
202506 -3.686 322.561 -3.773
202509 4.359 324.800 4.432
202512 -1.604 324.054 -1.634
202603 -2.262 330.213 -2.262

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $3.18 mean?
Hilltop Holdings (HTH) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $3.18 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Hilltop Holdings and its competitors.
Is Hilltop Holdings' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Hilltop Holdings' current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $3.18. Overall, Hilltop Holdings has a GF Score™ of 61/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Hilltop Holdings' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to TMS and TREE?
Hilltop Holdings' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $3.18 can be compared against companies in the Diversified Financial Services industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Diversified Financial Services company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Diversified Financial Services industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Hilltop Holdings and its competitors. Hilltop Holdings's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $3.18. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Hilltop Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hilltop Holdings (HTH) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $35.44, compared to a current price of $38.82 — trading 9.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $3.18. Hilltop Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 61/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Hilltop Holdings (HTH), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $3.18 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Hilltop Holdings (HTH) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hilltop Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $38.82 is trading 9.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of $35.44. GuruFocus considers Hilltop Holdings to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for HTH:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $3.18
  • GF Value™: $35.44 vs. price of $38.82 (9.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 61/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HTH stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Hilltop Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges WXF:Germany
Address 6565 Hillcrest Avenue, Dallas, TX, USA, 75205
Hilltop Holdings Inc is a Dallas-based financial holding company. The company has three segments: The banking segment includes the operations of the Bank; The broker-dealer segment includes the operations of Securities Holdings,; and the mortgage origination segment is composed of PrimeLending. Majority of revenue is from Broker-dealer Segment.
61GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HTH

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$38.82
Price
$35.44
GF Value