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Mattel (MEX:MAT) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : MXN18.15 (As of Mar. 2025)


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What is Mattel Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Mattel's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2025 was MXN1.549. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN18.15 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2025.

During the past 12 months, Mattel's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -100.00% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -9.50% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -8.20% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -9.10% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Mattel was 18.20% per year. The lowest was -12.40% per year. And the median was 2.70% per year.

As of today (2025-05-07), Mattel's current stock price is MXN315.00. Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2025 was MXN18.15. Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 17.36.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Mattel was 29.65. The lowest was 6.55. And the median was 17.01.


Mattel Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Mattel Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Mattel Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.61 19.62 14.73 13.35 16.86

Mattel Quarterly Data
Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.44 15.25 16.26 16.86 18.15

Competitive Comparison of Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Leisure subindustry, Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


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Mattel Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Mattel's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2025 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2025 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2025)
=1.549/134.9266*134.9266
=1.549

Current CPI (Mar. 2025) = 134.9266.

Mattel Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201506 -12.167 100.684 -16.305
201509 -1.906 100.392 -2.562
201512 44.120 99.792 59.653
201603 -6.805 100.470 -9.139
201606 -11.790 101.688 -15.644
201609 -8.908 101.861 -11.800
201612 50.070 101.863 66.322
201703 -20.886 102.862 -27.397
201706 -16.730 103.349 -21.842
201709 -14.643 104.136 -18.973
201712 37.108 104.011 48.138
201803 -16.940 105.290 -21.708
201806 -17.890 106.317 -22.704
201809 -11.238 106.507 -14.237
201812 37.646 105.998 47.920
201903 -12.167 107.251 -15.307
201906 -12.870 108.070 -16.068
201909 -7.967 108.329 -9.923
201912 35.659 108.420 44.377
202003 -14.182 108.902 -17.571
202006 -20.856 108.767 -25.872
202009 -0.077 109.815 -0.095
202012 38.755 109.897 47.582
202103 -4.189 111.754 -5.058
202106 -13.929 114.631 -16.395
202109 -3.196 115.734 -3.726
202112 39.518 117.630 45.329
202203 -9.974 121.301 -11.094
202206 -18.095 125.017 -19.529
202209 5.661 125.227 6.100
202212 35.732 125.222 38.501
202303 -12.664 127.348 -13.418
202306 -7.182 128.729 -7.528
202309 9.835 129.860 10.219
202312 43.411 129.419 45.258
202403 0.240 131.776 0.246
202406 -15.313 132.554 -15.587
202409 3.712 133.029 3.765
202412 50.497 133.157 51.168
202503 1.549 134.927 1.549

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Mattel  (MEX:MAT) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=315.00/18.15
=17.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Mattel was 29.65. The lowest was 6.55. And the median was 17.01.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Mattel Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Mattel Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
333 Continental Boulevard, El Segundo, CA, USA, 90245-5012
Mattel manufactures and markets toy products that are sold to its wholesale customers and direct to retail consumers. The company offers products for children and families, including toys for infants and preschoolers, girls and boys, youth electronics, hand-held and other games, puzzles, educational toys, media-driven products, and plush and fashion-related toys. Mattel's owned portfolio includes Barbie, Hot Wheels, Fisher-Price, Thomas & Friends, and American Girl. In addition, it currently manufactures toy products for its segments both internally and externally (through manufacturing partners). Nearly 60% of its net sales were generated from North America in 2024, with the remainder stemming from international markets.