Alcoa (XSWX:AA) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: CHF0.80 (As of Mar. 2026)


XSWX:AA Alcoa Corp XSWX:AA
65 GF Score
Price CHF38.96
GF Value CHF25.04
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Alcoa XSWX:AA 65 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is CHF0.80 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates XSWX:AA with a GF Score™ of 65/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF25.04. The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Alcoa's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was CHF-0.882. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is CHF0.80 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Alcoa's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 34.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

As of today (2026-07-02), Alcoa's current stock price is CHF38.96. Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was CHF0.80. Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 48.70.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Alcoa was 90.42. The lowest was 31.09. And the median was 50.07.


Alcoa  (XSWX:AA) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=38.96/0.80
=48.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Alcoa was 90.42. The lowest was 31.09. And the median was 50.07.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Alcoa Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Alcoa Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.80

XSWX:AA vs CENX, CSTM, KALU: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Aluminum subindustry, Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


XSWX:AA
65GF Score
Alcoa Corp XSWX:AA
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Alcoa's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=-0.882/330.2130*330.2130
=-0.882

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Alcoa Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 -0.893 241.018 -1.223
201609 -1.040 241.428 -1.422
201612 0.518 241.432 0.708
201703 0.016 243.801 0.022
201706 1.161 244.955 1.565
201709 1.482 246.819 1.983
201712 1.610 246.524 2.157
201803 -0.096 249.554 -0.127
201806 -2.750 251.989 -3.604
201809 1.072 252.439 1.402
201812 2.031 251.233 2.669
201903 0.535 254.202 0.695
201906 -0.037 256.143 -0.048
201909 0.463 256.759 0.595
201912 0.680 256.974 0.874
202003 -0.929 258.115 -1.188
202006 1.079 257.797 1.382
202009 0.413 260.280 0.524
202012 -0.349 260.474 -0.442
202103 -0.339 264.877 -0.423
202106 -0.788 271.696 -0.958
202109 1.701 274.310 2.048
202112 1.997 278.802 2.365
202203 -0.198 287.504 -0.227
202206 2.238 296.311 2.494
202209 0.033 296.808 0.037
202212 -0.277 296.797 -0.308
202303 -1.279 301.836 -1.399
202306 -0.647 305.109 -0.700
202309 -0.384 307.789 -0.412
202312 0.049 306.746 0.053
202403 -1.608 312.332 -1.700
202406 0.607 314.175 0.638
202409 -0.011 315.301 -0.012
202412 0.828 315.605 0.866
202503 -0.061 319.799 -0.063
202506 1.117 322.561 1.143
202509 -0.201 324.800 -0.204
202512 0.887 324.054 0.904
202603 -0.882 330.213 -0.882

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of CHF0.80 mean?
Alcoa (XSWX:AA) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of CHF0.80 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Alcoa and its competitors.
Is Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Alcoa's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is CHF0.80. Overall, Alcoa has a GF Score™ of 65/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to CENX and CSTM?
Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of CHF0.80 can be compared against companies in the Metals & Mining industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Alcoa and its competitors. Alcoa's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is CHF0.80. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Alcoa stock overvalued right now?
Alcoa (XSWX:AA) has a current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of CHF0.80. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF25.04, compared to a current price of CHF38.96 — trading 55.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is CHF0.80. Alcoa's overall GF Score™ is 65/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Alcoa (XSWX:AA), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is CHF0.80 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Alcoa (XSWX:AA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alcoa stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of CHF38.96 is trading 55.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF25.04.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:AA:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: CHF0.80
  • GF Value™: CHF25.04 vs. price of CHF38.96 (55.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 65/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:AA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Alcoa Business Description

Address 201 Isabella Street, Suite 500, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 15212-5858
Alcoa is a vertically integrated aluminum company whose operations include bauxite mining, alumina refining, and manufacturing primary aluminum. It is one of the world's largest bauxite miners and alumina refiners by production volume, but sits outside the top-10 aluminum producers, a list dominated by Chinese companies. Profits are closely tied to prevailing commodity prices along the aluminum supply chain.Alcoa was the first mass producer of aluminum, launching the world-changing Hall-Heroult smelting process in the 1880s, making aluminum affordable. It listed as a public company in 1925. In 2016, Alcoa spun off its automotive and aerospace metal parts segment to focus on mining, smelting, and refining. It bought the 40% unowned balance of AWAC in mid-2024.
65GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:AA

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF38.96
Price
CHF25.04
GF Value