Alcoa (XSWX:AA) Risk Assessment


XSWX:AA Alcoa Corp XSWX:AA
68 GF Score
Price CHF39.02
GF Value CHF24.72
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Alcoa Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Alcoa is: No Data: Cannot be evaluated.

Alcoa  (XSWX:AA) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Alcoa Risk Assessment Related Terms

XSWX:AA vs CENX, CSTM, KALU: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Aluminum subindustry, Alcoa's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Alcoa Risk Assessment vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Alcoa's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alcoa's Risk Assessment falls into.


XSWX:AA
68GF Score
Alcoa Corp XSWX:AA
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is Alcoa (XSWX:AA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alcoa stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of CHF39.02 is trading 57.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF24.72.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:AA:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: CHF24.72 vs. price of CHF39.02 (57.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:AA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Alcoa Business Description

Address 201 Isabella Street, Suite 500, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 15212-5858
Alcoa is a vertically integrated aluminum company whose operations include bauxite mining, alumina refining, and manufacturing primary aluminum. It is one of the world's largest bauxite miners and alumina refiners by production volume, but sits outside the top-10 aluminum producers, a list dominated by Chinese companies. Profits are closely tied to prevailing commodity prices along the aluminum supply chain.Alcoa was the first mass producer of aluminum, launching the world-changing Hall-Heroult smelting process in the 1880s, making aluminum affordable. It listed as a public company in 1925. In 2016, Alcoa spun off its automotive and aerospace metal parts segment to focus on mining, smelting, and refining. It bought the 40% unowned balance of AWAC in mid-2024.
68GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:AA

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF39.02
Price
CHF24.72
GF Value