Alcoa (XSWX:AA) GF Value Rank: 3 (As of Jul. 07, 2026) — 200% Above Median


XSWX:AA Alcoa Corp XSWX:AA
68 GF Score
Price CHF40.55
GF Value CHF25.13
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Alcoa GF Value Rank?

Alcoa XSWX:AA +3.93% 68 GF Value Rank is 3 as of Jul. 07, 2026, which is 200% above its 10-year median of 1.00. GuruFocus rates XSWX:AA with a GF Score™ of 68/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF25.13. The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

Alcoa has the GF Value Rank of 3.

GF Value Rank evaluates the exclusive GuruFocus valuation and performance of a stock, rated on a scale from 1 to 10. It is determined by the price-to-GF-Value (P/GF Value) ratio, a proprietary metric calculated based on historical multiples along with an adjustment factor based on a company's past returns and growth and future estimates of the business' performance.

GuruFocus found that for valuation, we cannot simply give stocks a better GF Value rank simply because they have a lower P/GF Value ratio. Backtesting shows that over the long term, the two worst-performing groups are the most expensive group (with the highest P/GF Value ratio) and the least expensive group (with the lowest P/GF Value ratio).

We can understand why the most expensive group underperforms. We were initially puzzled by the underperformance of the least expensive group, but we realized there is a reason why some stocks are super cheap. If they look too undervalued, it is often because the businesses behind them are poor quality. The market realized this and gave them low valuations. In a way, the market is efficient.

After multiple backtesting analyses, we granted the stocks in third-cheapest percentile the highest GF Value rank, as they have performed the best over a full market cycle. Stock performance is actually not as sensitive to valuation as it is to growth and profitability. On average, the companies in the 20%-50% valuation groups have similar performances. Therefore, we should avoid the most expensive and the least expensive stocks. We can be more tolerant of valuation.

A higher score indicates a stock with a relatively low valuation and substantial potential for outperformance. Conversely, a lower score often reflects stocks that are either highly overvalued or deeply undervalued, both of which tend to underperform.

Please click GF Score to see more details on the GF Score's 5 Key Aspects of Analysis.

XSWX:AA vs CENX, CSTM, KALU: GF Value Rank Comparison

For the Aluminum subindustry, Alcoa's GF Value Rank, along with its competitors' market caps and GF Value Rank data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Alcoa GF Value Rank vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Alcoa's GF Value Rank distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alcoa's GF Value Rank falls into.


XSWX:AA
68GF Score
Alcoa Corp XSWX:AA
GF Value Rank is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about GF Value Rank →
What does a GF Value Rank of 3 mean?
Alcoa (XSWX:AA) has a GF Value Rank of 3 as of Jul. 07, 2026. GF Value Rank is given based on historical multiples along with past returns, growth and future estimates of the business' performance. View historical data on Alcoa and its competitors. This is 200% above median its historical median of 1.00. Over the past decade, Alcoa's GF Value Rank has ranged from 1.00 to 3.00.
Is Alcoa's GF Value Rank too high?
Alcoa's current GF Value Rank of 3 is 200% above median its 10-year median of 1.00. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.00 to a high of 3.00. Overall, Alcoa has a GF Score™ of 68/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Alcoa's GF Value Rank compare to CENX and CSTM?
Alcoa's GF Value Rank of 3 can be compared against companies in the Metals & Mining industry. Historically, Alcoa's own GF Value Rank has ranged from 1.00 to 3.00 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good GF Value Rank for a Metals & Mining company?
A good GF Value Rank depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, GF Value Rank should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high GF Value Rank mean?
A high GF Value Rank can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. GF Value Rank is given based on historical multiples along with past returns, growth and future estimates of the business' performance. View historical data on Alcoa and its competitors. Alcoa's current GF Value Rank is 3, which is 200% above median its own 10-year median of 1.00. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Alcoa stock overvalued right now?
Alcoa (XSWX:AA) has a current GF Value Rank of 3. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF25.13, compared to a current price of CHF40.55 — trading 61.4% above its estimated fair value. The current GF Value Rank is 3, which is 200% above median its 10-year median of 1.00. Alcoa's overall GF Score™ is 68/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is GF Value Rank calculated?
GF Value Rank is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Alcoa (XSWX:AA), the current GF Value Rank is 3 as of Jul. 07, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Alcoa (XSWX:AA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alcoa stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of CHF40.55 is trading 61.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF25.13.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:AA:

  • GF Value Rank: 3 (200% above median its 10-year median of 1.00)
  • GF Value™: CHF25.13 vs. price of CHF40.55 (61.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:AA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Alcoa Business Description

Address 201 Isabella Street, Suite 500, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 15212-5858
Alcoa is a vertically integrated aluminum company whose operations include bauxite mining, alumina refining, and manufacturing primary aluminum. It is one of the world's largest bauxite miners and alumina refiners by production volume, but sits outside the top-10 aluminum producers, a list dominated by Chinese companies. Profits are closely tied to prevailing commodity prices along the aluminum supply chain.Alcoa was the first mass producer of aluminum, launching the world-changing Hall-Heroult smelting process in the 1880s, making aluminum affordable. It listed as a public company in 1925. In 2016, Alcoa spun off its automotive and aerospace metal parts segment to focus on mining, smelting, and refining. It bought the 40% unowned balance of AWAC in mid-2024.
68GF Score

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GF Value Rank is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF40.55
Price
CHF25.13
GF Value