Alcoa (XSWX:AA) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 0.70 (As of Jul. 06, 2026) — 32% Above Median


XSWX:AA Alcoa Corp XSWX:AA
68 GF Score
Price CHF39.02
GF Value CHF24.72
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio?

Alcoa XSWX:AA 68 Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.70 as of Jul. 06, 2026, which is 32% above its 10-year median of 0.53. GuruFocus rates XSWX:AA with a GF Score™ of 68/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF24.72. The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 574 Metals & Mining companies, Alcoa ranks better than 77.35% on this metric.

As of today (2026-07-06), Alcoa's current share price is CHF39.015. Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was CHF56.06. Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is 0.70.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

XSWX:AA' s Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.33   Med: 0.53   Max: 1.1
Current: 0.69

During the past years, Alcoa's highest Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio was 1.10. The lowest was 0.33. And the median was 0.53.

XSWX:AA's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is ranked better than
77.35% of 574 companies
in the Metals & Mining industry
Industry Median: 2.25 vs XSWX:AA: 0.69

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted revenue per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Alcoa's adjusted revenue per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was CHF9.451. Add all the adjusted revenue per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share, which is CHF56.06 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Alcoa  (XSWX:AA) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PS Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of revenue during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should give similar results to regular PS Ratio.


Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Related Terms


Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Chart

Alcoa Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.76

Alcoa Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.43 0.42 0.47 0.76 0.94

XSWX:AA vs CENX, CSTM, KALU: Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Comparison

For the Aluminum subindustry, Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio falls into.


XSWX:AA
68GF Score
Alcoa Corp XSWX:AA
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio takes the Revenue per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/S calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPS Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio.

Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share
=39.015/56.06
=0.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Alcoa's adjusted Revenue per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_RevenuePerShare=Revenue per Share/CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=9.451/330.2130*330.2130
=9.451

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Alcoa Quarterly Data

Revenue per Share CPI Adj_RevenuePerShare
201606 12.347 241.018 16.916
201609 12.422 241.428 16.990
201612 14.138 241.432 19.337
201703 14.296 243.801 19.363
201706 14.881 244.955 20.060
201709 15.256 246.819 20.411
201712 16.753 246.524 22.440
201803 15.581 249.554 20.617
201806 18.747 251.989 24.567
201809 17.648 252.439 23.085
201812 17.550 251.233 23.067
201903 14.705 254.202 19.102
201906 14.400 256.143 18.564
201909 13.671 256.759 17.582
201912 12.938 256.974 16.625
202003 12.214 258.115 15.626
202006 10.986 257.797 14.072
202009 11.633 260.280 14.759
202012 11.425 260.474 14.484
202103 14.119 264.877 17.602
202106 13.536 271.696 16.451
202109 15.021 274.310 18.082
202112 16.190 278.802 19.175
202203 16.279 287.504 18.697
202206 19.008 296.311 21.183
202209 15.502 296.808 17.247
202212 13.937 296.797 15.506
202303 13.883 301.836 15.188
202306 13.577 305.109 14.694
202309 13.150 307.789 14.108
202312 12.608 306.746 13.573
202403 12.902 312.332 13.641
202406 14.350 314.175 15.083
202409 10.514 315.301 11.011
202412 11.729 315.605 12.272
202503 11.449 319.799 11.822
202506 9.439 322.561 9.663
202509 9.135 324.800 9.287
202512 10.411 324.054 10.609
202603 9.451 330.213 9.451

Add all the adjusted revenue per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 0.70 mean?
Alcoa (XSWX:AA) has a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 0.70 as of Jul. 06, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Alcoa and its competitors. This is 32% above median its historical median of 0.53. Over the past decade, Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.33 to 1.10. According to the industry distribution chart, Alcoa ranks #130 out of 574 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 22.6%.
Is Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio too high?
Alcoa's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 0.70 is 32% above median its 10-year median of 0.53. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.33 to a high of 1.10. The Metals & Mining industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 2.25. Alcoa's value of 0.70 is 68.9% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Alcoa ranks #130 out of 574 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Alcoa has a GF Score™ of 68/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio compare to CENX and CSTM?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Alcoa ranks #130 out of 574 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. This places Alcoa in the top 23% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 2.25. Alcoa's value of 0.70 is 68.9% below this benchmark. Historically, Alcoa's own Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.33 to 1.10 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.53 vs. the industry median of 2.25, Alcoa has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for a Metals & Mining company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio among Metals & Mining companies is 2.25, based on 574 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Alcoa's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 0.70 is 68.9% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Alcoa and its competitors. For the Metals & Mining industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 2.25 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Alcoa's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.70, which is 32% above median its own 10-year median of 0.53. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Alcoa stock overvalued right now?
Alcoa (XSWX:AA) has a current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 0.70. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF24.72, compared to a current price of CHF39.02 — trading 57.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.70, which is 32% above median its 10-year median of 0.53 and 68.9% below the Metals & Mining industry median of 2.25. Alcoa's overall GF Score™ is 68/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Alcoa (XSWX:AA), the current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.70 as of Jul. 06, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Alcoa (XSWX:AA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alcoa stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of CHF39.02 is trading 57.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF24.72.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:AA:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 0.70 (32% above median its 10-year median of 0.53)
  • GF Value™: CHF24.72 vs. price of CHF39.02 (57.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 7 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 68.9% below the Metals & Mining median (#130 of 574)

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:AA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Alcoa Business Description

Address 201 Isabella Street, Suite 500, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 15212-5858
Alcoa is a vertically integrated aluminum company whose operations include bauxite mining, alumina refining, and manufacturing primary aluminum. It is one of the world's largest bauxite miners and alumina refiners by production volume, but sits outside the top-10 aluminum producers, a list dominated by Chinese companies. Profits are closely tied to prevailing commodity prices along the aluminum supply chain.Alcoa was the first mass producer of aluminum, launching the world-changing Hall-Heroult smelting process in the 1880s, making aluminum affordable. It listed as a public company in 1925. In 2016, Alcoa spun off its automotive and aerospace metal parts segment to focus on mining, smelting, and refining. It bought the 40% unowned balance of AWAC in mid-2024.
68GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:AA

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF39.02
Price
CHF24.72
GF Value