Alcoa (XSWX:AA) Shiller PE Ratio: (As of Aug. 17, 2026)

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XSWX:AA Alcoa Corp XSWX:AA
68 GF Score
Price CHF41.04
GF Value CHF27.02
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Alcoa Shiller PE Ratio?

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Alcoa  (XSWX:AA) Shiller PE Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PE Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller PE Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller PE Ratio should give similar results to regular PE Ratio.

Compared with the PS Ratio, the Shiller PE Ratio makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company's business model does not work in the future compared with the past, Shiller PE Ratio and PS Ratio will give false valuations.


Alcoa Shiller PE Ratio Related Terms


Alcoa Shiller PE Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Alcoa's Shiller PE Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Alcoa Shiller PE Ratio Chart

Alcoa Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Shiller PE Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Alcoa Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Shiller PE Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

XSWX:AA vs CENX, CSTM, KALU: Shiller PE Ratio Comparison

For the Aluminum subindustry, Alcoa's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alcoa Shiller PE Ratio vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Alcoa's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alcoa's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.


XSWX:AA
68GF Score
Alcoa Corp XSWX:AA
Shiller PE Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Alcoa Shiller PE Ratio Calculation

For Shiller PE Ratio, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller PE Ratio is also called PE10.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Alcoa's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Alcoa's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnings per Share (Diluted)/CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=1.223/333.9520*333.9520
=1.223

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

Alcoa Quarterly Data

Earnings per Share (Diluted) CPI Adj_EPS
201609 -0.053 241.428 -0.073
201612 -0.693 241.432 -0.959
201703 1.212 243.801 1.660
201706 0.387 244.955 0.528
201709 0.577 246.819 0.781
201712 -1.046 246.524 -1.417
201803 0.986 249.554 1.319
201806 0.050 251.989 0.066
201809 -0.029 252.439 -0.038
201812 0.268 251.233 0.356
201903 -1.071 254.202 -1.407
201906 -2.144 256.143 -2.795
201909 -1.179 256.759 -1.533
201912 -1.611 256.974 -2.094
202003 0.412 258.115 0.533
202006 -1.008 257.797 -1.306
202009 -0.238 260.280 -0.305
202012 -0.018 260.474 -0.023
202103 0.865 264.877 1.091
202106 1.480 271.696 1.819
202109 1.624 274.310 1.977
202112 -1.943 278.802 -2.327
202203 2.314 287.504 2.688
202206 2.862 296.311 3.226
202209 -4.059 296.808 -4.567
202212 -1.975 296.797 -2.222
202303 -1.203 301.836 -1.331
202306 -0.513 305.109 -0.561
202309 -0.846 307.789 -0.918
202312 -0.726 306.746 -0.790
202403 -1.253 312.332 -1.340
202406 0.098 314.175 0.104
202409 0.322 315.301 0.341
202412 0.678 315.605 0.717
202503 1.829 319.799 1.910
202506 0.504 322.561 0.522
202509 0.701 324.800 0.721
202512 0.677 324.054 0.698
202603 1.260 330.213 1.274
202606 1.223 333.952 1.223

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

Is Alcoa (XSWX:AA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alcoa stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of CHF41.04 is trading 51.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF27.02.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:AA:

  • Shiller PE Ratio:
  • GF Value™: CHF27.02 vs. price of CHF41.04 (51.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:AA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Alcoa Business Description

Address 201 Isabella Street, Suite 500, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 15212-5858
Alcoa is a vertically integrated aluminum company whose operations include bauxite mining, alumina refining, and manufacturing primary aluminum. It is one of the world's largest bauxite miners and alumina refiners by production volume, but sits outside the top-10 aluminum producers, a list dominated by Chinese companies. Profits are closely tied to prevailing commodity prices along the aluminum supply chain.Alcoa was the first mass producer of aluminum, launching the world-changing Hall-Heroult smelting process in the 1880s, making aluminum affordable. It listed as a public company in 1925. In 2016, Alcoa spun off its automotive and aerospace metal parts segment to focus on mining, smelting, and refining. It bought the 40% unowned balance of AWAC in mid-2024.
68GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:AA

Shiller PE Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF41.04
Price
CHF27.02
GF Value