Harley-Davidson (MEX:HOG) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 1.20 (As of Jul. 14, 2026) — 55% Below Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MEX:HOG Harley-Davidson Inc MEX:HOG
80 GF Score
Price MXN414.20
GF Value MXN455.15
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio?

Harley-Davidson MEX:HOG 80 Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.20 as of Jul. 14, 2026, which is 55% below its 10-year median of 2.69. GuruFocus rates MEX:HOG with a GF Score™ of 80/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN455.15. The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,037 Vehicles & Parts companies, Harley-Davidson ranks better than 50.53% on this metric.

As of today (2026-07-14), Harley-Davidson's current share price is MXN414.20. Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN344.91. Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is 1.20.

The historical rank and industry rank for Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:HOG' s Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.93   Med: 2.69   Max: 5.19
Current: 1.3

During the past years, Harley-Davidson's highest Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio was 5.19. The lowest was 0.93. And the median was 2.69.

MEX:HOG's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is ranked better than
50.53% of 1037 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 1.31 vs MEX:HOG: 1.30

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted book value per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Harley-Davidson's adjusted book value per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN490.899. Add all the adjusted book value per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share, which is MXN344.91 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Harley-Davidson  (MEX:HOG) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PB Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of book value during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should give similar results to regular PB Ratio.


Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Related Terms


Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Chart

Harley-Davidson Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.68 2.72 2.25 1.72 1.08

Harley-Davidson Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.41 1.30 1.50 1.08 1.03

MEX:HOG vs LCII, PATK, THO: Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Comparison

For the Recreational Vehicles subindustry, Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio falls into.


MEX:HOG
80GF Score
Harley-Davidson Inc MEX:HOG
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio takes the Book Value per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/B calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPB Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio.

Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share
=414.20/344.91
=1.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Harley-Davidson's adjusted Book Value per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_Book=Book Value per Share/CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=490.899/330.2130*330.2130
=490.899

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Harley-Davidson Quarterly Data

Book Value per Share CPI Adj_Book
201606 209.039 241.018 286.399
201609 217.926 241.428 298.068
201612 224.998 241.432 307.736
201703 213.714 243.801 289.462
201706 216.809 244.955 292.271
201709 200.229 246.819 267.881
201712 215.483 246.524 288.634
201803 216.018 249.554 285.838
201806 255.010 251.989 334.172
201809 247.317 252.439 323.513
201812 218.163 251.233 286.747
201903 217.447 254.202 282.468
201906 228.854 256.143 295.033
201909 225.931 256.759 290.566
201912 223.151 256.974 286.750
202003 259.215 258.115 331.620
202006 244.857 257.797 313.638
202009 255.306 260.280 323.903
202012 224.086 260.474 284.083
202103 263.335 264.877 328.291
202106 282.823 271.696 343.736
202109 312.054 274.310 375.649
202112 341.067 278.802 403.960
202203 323.263 287.504 371.284
202206 342.979 296.311 382.220
202209 369.552 296.808 411.144
202212 388.083 296.797 431.777
202303 380.313 301.836 416.068
202306 372.834 305.109 403.510
202309 411.112 307.789 441.064
202312 405.056 306.746 436.044
202403 404.165 312.332 427.303
202406 478.496 314.175 502.922
202409 530.629 315.301 555.725
202412 531.306 315.605 555.898
202503 521.414 319.799 538.393
202506 500.197 322.561 512.063
202509 524.808 324.800 533.554
202512 506.452 324.054 516.078
202603 490.899 330.213 490.899

Add all the adjusted book value per share together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 1.20 mean?
Harley-Davidson (MEX:HOG) has a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 1.20 as of Jul. 14, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Harley-Davidson and its competitors. This is 55% below median its historical median of 2.69. Over the past decade, Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 0.93 to 5.19. According to the industry distribution chart, Harley-Davidson ranks #513 out of 1037 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, placing it in the top 49.5%.
Is Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio too high?
Harley-Davidson's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 1.20 is 55% below median its 10-year median of 2.69. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.93 to a high of 5.19. The Vehicles & Parts industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.31. Harley-Davidson's value of 1.20 is 8.4% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Harley-Davidson ranks #513 out of 1037 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Harley-Davidson has a GF Score™ of 80/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio compare to LCII and PATK?
According to the Vehicles & Parts industry distribution chart, Harley-Davidson ranks #513 out of 1037 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. This puts Harley-Davidson in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.31. Harley-Davidson's value of 1.20 is 8.4% below this benchmark. Historically, Harley-Davidson's own Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 0.93 to 5.19 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.69 vs. the industry median of 1.31, Harley-Davidson has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for a Vehicles & Parts company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio among Vehicles & Parts companies is 1.31, based on 1,037 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Harley-Davidson's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 1.20 is 8.4% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Harley-Davidson and its competitors. For the Vehicles & Parts industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.31 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Harley-Davidson's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.20, which is 55% below median its own 10-year median of 2.69. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Harley-Davidson stock overvalued right now?
Harley-Davidson (MEX:HOG) has a current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 1.20. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN455.15, compared to a current price of MXN414.20 — trading 9% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.20, which is 55% below median its 10-year median of 2.69 and 8.4% below the Vehicles & Parts industry median of 1.31. Harley-Davidson's overall GF Score™ is 80/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Harley-Davidson (MEX:HOG), the current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.20 as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Harley-Davidson (MEX:HOG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Harley-Davidson stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN414.20 is trading 9% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN455.15.

Key valuation signals for MEX:HOG:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 1.20 (55% below median its 10-year median of 2.69)
  • GF Value™: MXN455.15 vs. price of MXN414.20 (9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 80/100 with 8 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 8.4% below the Vehicles & Parts median (#513 of 1037)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:HOG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Harley-Davidson Business Description

Address 3700 West Juneau Avenue, Milwaukee, WI, USA, 53208
Harley-Davidson is a leading global manufacturer of heavyweight motorcycles across the custom, cruising, and touring categories, as well as related merchandise, parts, and accessories. In recent years, the firm has expanded into the adventure touring market with its Pan America model, into electric with the LiveWire brand, and is returning to smaller-displacement bikes with the Sprint. Its captive finance arm, Harley-Davidson Financial Services, provides wholesale financing to dealers and retail financing and insurance brokerage services to customers. Harley captured around 34% of the heavyweight domestic market in 2025.
80GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:HOG

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN414.20
Price
MXN455.15
GF Value