Harley-Davidson (MEX:HOG) E10: MXN61.64 (As of Jun. 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MEX:HOG Harley-Davidson Inc MEX:HOG
76 GF Score
Price MXN414.20
GF Value MXN432.19
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Harley-Davidson E10?

Harley-Davidson MEX:HOG 76 E10 is MXN61.64 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:HOG with a GF Score™ of 76/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN432.19. The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Harley-Davidson's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was MXN13.087. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is MXN61.64 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Harley-Davidson's average E10 Growth Rate was -5.90% per year. During the past 5 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 4.30% per year. During the past 10 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 4.30% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of Harley-Davidson was 26.30% per year. The lowest was -1.60% per year. And the median was 6.70% per year.

As of today (2026-08-10), Harley-Davidson's current stock price is MXN414.20. Harley-Davidson's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was MXN61.64. Harley-Davidson's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 6.72.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of Harley-Davidson was 22.00. The lowest was 4.59. And the median was 10.84.


Harley-Davidson  (MEX:HOG) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Harley-Davidson's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=414.20/61.64
=6.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of Harley-Davidson was 22.00. The lowest was 4.59. And the median was 10.84.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


Harley-Davidson E10 Related Terms


Harley-Davidson E10 Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Harley-Davidson's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Harley-Davidson E10 Chart

Harley-Davidson Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 68.84 86.00 67.00 85.21 72.53

Harley-Davidson Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 76.74 68.94 72.53 65.67 61.64

MEX:HOG vs PATK, LCII, THO: E10 Comparison

For the Recreational Vehicles subindustry, Harley-Davidson's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Harley-Davidson Shiller PE Ratio vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Harley-Davidson's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Harley-Davidson's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.


MEX:HOG
76GF Score
Harley-Davidson Inc MEX:HOG
E10 is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Harley-Davidson E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Harley-Davidson's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=13.087/333.9520*333.9520
=13.087

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

Harley-Davidson Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201609 12.375 241.428 17.118
201612 5.567 241.432 7.700
201703 19.770 243.801 27.080
201706 26.752 244.955 36.472
201709 7.259 246.819 9.822
201712 0.982 246.524 1.330
201803 18.713 249.554 25.042
201806 28.492 251.989 37.759
201809 12.719 252.439 16.826
201812 0.060 251.233 0.080
201903 15.518 254.202 20.386
201906 23.627 256.143 30.804
201909 10.858 256.759 14.122
201912 1.697 256.974 2.205
202003 10.552 258.115 13.652
202006 -13.849 257.797 -17.940
202009 17.231 260.280 22.108
202012 -12.532 260.474 -16.067
202103 34.341 264.877 43.296
202106 26.475 271.696 32.541
202109 21.590 274.310 26.284
202112 2.872 278.802 3.440
202203 28.871 287.504 33.535
202206 29.372 296.311 33.103
202209 35.805 296.808 40.286
202212 5.459 296.797 6.142
202303 36.771 301.836 40.684
202306 20.916 305.109 22.893
202309 24.038 307.789 26.081
202312 3.055 306.746 3.326
202403 28.546 312.332 30.522
202406 29.862 314.175 31.742
202409 17.918 315.301 18.978
202412 -19.396 315.605 -20.524
202503 21.890 319.799 22.859
202506 16.570 322.561 17.155
202509 56.867 324.800 58.469
202512 -43.934 324.054 -45.276
202603 3.967 330.213 4.012
202606 13.087 333.952 13.087

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about E10 →
What does a E10 of MXN61.64 mean?
Harley-Davidson (MEX:HOG) has a E10 of MXN61.64 as of Jun. 2026. E10 represents the company's inflation-adjusted earnings per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Harley-Davidson and its competitors.
Is Harley-Davidson's E10 too high?
Harley-Davidson's current E10 is MXN61.64. Overall, Harley-Davidson has a GF Score™ of 76/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Harley-Davidson's E10 compare to PATK and LCII?
Harley-Davidson's E10 of MXN61.64 can be compared against companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good E10 for a Vehicles & Parts company?
A good E10 depends on the Vehicles & Parts industry context. However, E10 should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high E10 mean?
A high E10 can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. E10 represents the company's inflation-adjusted earnings per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Harley-Davidson and its competitors. Harley-Davidson's current E10 is MXN61.64. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Harley-Davidson stock overvalued right now?
Harley-Davidson (MEX:HOG) has a current E10 of MXN61.64. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN432.19, compared to a current price of MXN414.20 — trading 4.2% below its estimated fair value. The current E10 is MXN61.64. Harley-Davidson's overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is E10 calculated?
E10 is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Harley-Davidson (MEX:HOG), the current E10 is MXN61.64 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Harley-Davidson (MEX:HOG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Harley-Davidson stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN414.20 is trading 4.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN432.19.

Key valuation signals for MEX:HOG:

  • E10: MXN61.64
  • GF Value™: MXN432.19 vs. price of MXN414.20 (4.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:HOG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Harley-Davidson Business Description

Address 3700 West Juneau Avenue, Milwaukee, WI, USA, 53208
Harley-Davidson is a leading global manufacturer of heavyweight motorcycles across the custom, cruising, and touring categories, as well as related merchandise, parts, and accessories. In recent years, the firm has expanded into the adventure touring market with its Pan America model, into electric with the LiveWire brand, and is returning to smaller-displacement bikes with the Sprint. Its captive finance arm, Harley-Davidson Financial Services, provides wholesale financing to dealers and retail financing and insurance brokerage services to customers. Harley captured around 34% of the heavyweight domestic market in 2025.
76GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:HOG

E10 is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN414.20
Price
MXN432.19
GF Value