Harley-Davidson (MEX:HOG) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 0.57 (As of Jul. 11, 2026) — 49% Below Median


MEX:HOG Harley-Davidson Inc MEX:HOG
80 GF Score
Price MXN414.20
GF Value MXN465.37
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio?

Harley-Davidson MEX:HOG 80 Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.57 as of Jul. 11, 2026, which is 49% below its 10-year median of 1.11. GuruFocus rates MEX:HOG with a GF Score™ of 80/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN465.37. The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,042 Vehicles & Parts companies, Harley-Davidson ranks better than 54.7% on this metric.

As of today (2026-07-11), Harley-Davidson's current share price is MXN414.20. Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN732.60. Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is 0.57.

The historical rank and industry rank for Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:HOG' s Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.43   Med: 1.11   Max: 2.3
Current: 0.6

During the past years, Harley-Davidson's highest Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio was 2.30. The lowest was 0.43. And the median was 1.11.

MEX:HOG's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is ranked better than
54.7% of 1042 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 0.735 vs MEX:HOG: 0.60

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted revenue per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Harley-Davidson's adjusted revenue per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN190.885. Add all the adjusted revenue per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share, which is MXN732.60 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Harley-Davidson  (MEX:HOG) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PS Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of revenue during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should give similar results to regular PS Ratio.


Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Related Terms


Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Chart

Harley-Davidson Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.10 1.12 0.94 0.75 0.50

Harley-Davidson Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.62 0.57 0.67 0.50 0.49

MEX:HOG vs LCII, PATK, THO: Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Comparison

For the Recreational Vehicles subindustry, Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio falls into.


MEX:HOG
80GF Score
Harley-Davidson Inc MEX:HOG
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio takes the Revenue per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/S calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPS Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio.

Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share
=414.20/732.60
=0.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Harley-Davidson's adjusted Revenue per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_RevenuePerShare=Revenue per Share/CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=190.885/330.2130*330.2130
=190.885

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Harley-Davidson Quarterly Data

Revenue per Share CPI Adj_RevenuePerShare
201606 189.798 241.018 260.038
201609 137.459 241.428 188.009
201612 129.076 241.432 176.541
201703 159.710 243.801 216.317
201706 181.990 244.955 245.333
201709 122.398 246.819 163.753
201712 142.967 246.524 191.501
201803 165.608 249.554 219.135
201806 201.335 251.989 263.835
201809 147.660 252.439 193.153
201812 138.054 251.233 181.454
201903 167.811 254.202 217.990
201906 196.712 256.143 253.596
201909 160.070 256.759 205.863
201912 130.611 256.974 167.836
202003 197.999 258.115 253.305
202006 130.362 257.797 166.981
202009 167.307 260.280 212.260
202012 93.517 260.474 118.555
202103 188.216 264.877 234.642
202106 196.638 271.696 238.989
202109 180.983 274.310 217.866
202112 134.340 278.802 159.112
202203 193.411 287.504 222.142
202206 199.919 296.311 222.792
202209 225.474 296.808 250.851
202212 149.665 296.797 166.516
202303 216.483 301.836 236.836
202306 169.987 305.109 183.973
202309 186.964 307.789 200.585
202312 126.412 306.746 136.083
202403 209.646 312.332 221.648
202406 221.151 314.175 232.440
202409 173.008 315.301 181.190
202412 112.743 315.605 117.961
202503 218.027 319.799 225.127
202506 201.399 322.561 206.177
202509 202.129 324.800 205.498
202512 76.708 324.054 78.166
202603 190.885 330.213 190.885

Add all the adjusted revenue per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 0.57 mean?
Harley-Davidson (MEX:HOG) has a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 0.57 as of Jul. 11, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Harley-Davidson and its competitors. This is 49% below median its historical median of 1.11. Over the past decade, Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.43 to 2.30. According to the industry distribution chart, Harley-Davidson ranks #472 out of 1042 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, placing it in the top 45.3%.
Is Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio too high?
Harley-Davidson's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 0.57 is 49% below median its 10-year median of 1.11. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.43 to a high of 2.30. The Vehicles & Parts industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.74. Harley-Davidson's value of 0.57 is 22.4% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Harley-Davidson ranks #472 out of 1042 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Harley-Davidson has a GF Score™ of 80/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio compare to LCII and PATK?
According to the Vehicles & Parts industry distribution chart, Harley-Davidson ranks #472 out of 1042 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. This puts Harley-Davidson in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.74. Harley-Davidson's value of 0.57 is 22.4% below this benchmark. Historically, Harley-Davidson's own Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.43 to 2.30 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.11 vs. the industry median of 0.74, Harley-Davidson has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for a Vehicles & Parts company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio among Vehicles & Parts companies is 0.74, based on 1,042 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Harley-Davidson's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 0.57 is 22.4% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Harley-Davidson and its competitors. For the Vehicles & Parts industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.74 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Harley-Davidson's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.57, which is 49% below median its own 10-year median of 1.11. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Harley-Davidson stock overvalued right now?
Harley-Davidson (MEX:HOG) has a current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 0.57. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN465.37, compared to a current price of MXN414.20 — trading 11% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.57, which is 49% below median its 10-year median of 1.11 and 22.4% below the Vehicles & Parts industry median of 0.74. Harley-Davidson's overall GF Score™ is 80/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Harley-Davidson (MEX:HOG), the current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.57 as of Jul. 11, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Harley-Davidson (MEX:HOG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Harley-Davidson stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN414.20 is trading 11% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN465.37.

Key valuation signals for MEX:HOG:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 0.57 (49% below median its 10-year median of 1.11)
  • GF Value™: MXN465.37 vs. price of MXN414.20 (11% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 80/100 with 8 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 22.4% below the Vehicles & Parts median (#472 of 1042)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:HOG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Harley-Davidson Business Description

Address 3700 West Juneau Avenue, Milwaukee, WI, USA, 53208
Harley-Davidson is a leading global manufacturer of heavyweight motorcycles across the custom, cruising, and touring categories, as well as related merchandise, parts, and accessories. In recent years, the firm has expanded into the adventure touring market with its Pan America model, into electric with the LiveWire brand, and is returning to smaller-displacement bikes with the Sprint. Its captive finance arm, Harley-Davidson Financial Services, provides wholesale financing to dealers and retail financing and insurance brokerage services to customers. Harley captured around 34% of the heavyweight domestic market in 2025.
80GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:HOG

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN414.20
Price
MXN465.37
GF Value