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Harley-Davidson (BUE:HOG) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 6.55 (As of May. 03, 2024)


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What is Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-05-03), Harley-Davidson's current share price is ARS13085.50. Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was ARS1,997.51. Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 6.55.

The historical rank and industry rank for Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

BUE:HOG' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.47   Med: 10.44   Max: 33.19
Current: 6.31

During the past years, Harley-Davidson's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 33.19. The lowest was 3.47. And the median was 10.44.

BUE:HOG's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked better than
89.55% of 488 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 21.79 vs BUE:HOG: 6.31

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Harley-Davidson's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was ARS1,064.035. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is ARS1,997.51 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Harley-Davidson Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.41 7.81 7.20 7.56 6.56

Harley-Davidson Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.70 6.19 5.82 6.56 7.88

Competitive Comparison of Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Recreational Vehicles subindustry, Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=13085.50/1997.51
=6.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Harley-Davidson's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=1064.035/129.4194*129.4194
=1,064.035

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 129.4194.

Harley-Davidson Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 35.408 100.560 45.570
201409 40.813 100.428 52.595
201412 8.116 99.070 10.602
201503 17.070 99.621 22.176
201506 51.246 100.684 65.872
201509 48.690 100.392 62.769
201512 -8.539 99.792 -11.074
201603 0.504 100.470 0.649
201606 80.169 101.688 102.032
201609 103.896 101.861 132.005
201612 41.016 101.863 52.112
201703 35.516 102.862 44.686
201706 118.856 103.349 148.838
201709 85.560 104.136 106.334
201712 -12.313 104.011 -15.321
201803 58.298 105.290 71.659
201806 225.262 106.317 274.211
201809 222.658 106.507 270.558
201812 -7.152 105.998 -8.732
201903 -1.894 107.251 -2.285
201906 349.404 108.070 418.431
201909 336.192 108.329 401.643
201912 -47.086 108.420 -56.206
202003 -50.275 108.902 -59.747
202006 783.842 108.767 932.673
202009 722.932 109.815 851.992
202012 6.437 109.897 7.580
202103 251.833 111.754 291.640
202106 847.956 114.631 957.346
202109 486.655 115.734 544.200
202112 -16.699 117.630 -18.373
202203 232.963 121.301 248.555
202206 190.096 125.017 196.790
202209 851.959 125.227 880.485
202212 -314.225 125.222 -324.758
202303 6.220 127.348 6.321
202306 1,592.383 128.729 1,600.927
202309 1,774.017 129.860 1,768.005
202312 -156.083 129.419 -156.083
202403 1,064.035 129.419 1,064.035

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Harley-Davidson  (BUE:HOG) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Harley-Davidson (BUE:HOG) Business Description

Address
3700 West Juneau Avenue, Milwaukee, WI, USA, 53208
Harley-Davidson is a global leading manufacturer of heavyweight motorcycles, merchandise, parts, and accessories. It sells custom, cruiser, and touring motorcycles and offers a complete line of Harley-Davidson motorcycle parts, accessories, riding gear, and apparel, as well as merchandise. Harley-Davidson Financial Services provides wholesale financing to dealers and retail financing and insurance brokerage services to customers. Harley has historically captured about half of all heavyweight domestic retail motorcycle registrations, a metric it had ceded in 2020 as it repositioned the business, and has yet to restore (at 39% in the third quarter). In recent years the firm has expanded into the adventure touring market with its Pan America model and into electric with the LiveWire brand.