Harley-Davidson (BUE:HOG) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: ARS2,810.53 (As of Mar. 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

BUE:HOG Harley-Davidson Inc BUE:HOG
62 GF Score
Price ARS12,950.00
GF Value ARS14,406.10
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Harley-Davidson BUE:HOG -2.34% 62 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS2,810.53 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates BUE:HOG with a GF Score™ of 62/100 and a GF Value™ of ARS14,406.10 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Harley-Davidson's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was ARS-9,838.915. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is ARS2,810.53 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Harley-Davidson's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -4.20% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 2.00% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 4.20% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 9.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Harley-Davidson was 40.10% per year. The lowest was -2.30% per year. And the median was 10.70% per year.

As of today (2026-07-15), Harley-Davidson's current stock price is ARS12950.00. Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was ARS2,810.53. Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 4.61.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Harley-Davidson was 25.77. The lowest was 3.02. And the median was 7.36.


Harley-Davidson  (BUE:HOG) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=12950.00/2810.53
=4.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Harley-Davidson was 25.77. The lowest was 3.02. And the median was 7.36.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Harley-Davidson Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 354.52 616.63 1,822.34 2,289.16 3,030.23

Harley-Davidson Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2,603.86 2,423.31 2,927.66 3,030.23 2,810.53

BUE:HOG vs LCII, PATK, THO: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Recreational Vehicles subindustry, Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


BUE:HOG
62GF Score
Harley-Davidson Inc BUE:HOG
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Harley-Davidson's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=-9838.915/330.2130*330.2130
=-9,838.915

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Harley-Davidson Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 80.169 241.018 109.838
201609 103.896 241.428 142.104
201612 41.016 241.432 56.099
201703 35.516 243.801 48.104
201706 118.856 244.955 160.225
201709 85.560 246.819 114.469
201712 -12.313 246.524 -16.493
201803 58.298 249.554 77.141
201806 225.262 251.989 295.189
201809 222.658 252.439 291.257
201812 -7.152 251.233 -9.400
201903 -1.894 254.202 -2.460
201906 349.404 256.143 450.443
201909 336.192 256.759 432.370
201912 -47.086 256.974 -60.506
202003 -50.275 258.115 -64.318
202006 783.842 257.797 1,004.026
202009 722.932 260.280 917.172
202012 6.437 260.474 8.160
202103 251.833 264.877 313.951
202106 847.956 271.696 1,030.586
202109 486.655 274.310 585.833
202112 -16.699 278.802 -19.778
202203 232.963 287.504 267.570
202206 190.096 296.311 211.846
202209 851.959 296.808 947.845
202212 -314.225 296.797 -349.603
202303 6.220 301.836 6.805
202306 1,592.383 305.109 1,723.402
202309 1,774.017 307.789 1,903.263
202312 -156.083 306.746 -168.024
202403 1,064.035 312.332 1,124.951
202406 8,657.241 314.175 9,099.176
202409 6,541.279 315.301 6,850.645
202412 1,835.170 315.605 1,920.112
202503 2,860.569 319.799 2,953.721
202506 9,687.286 322.561 9,917.094
202509 -4,323.213 324.800 -4,395.262
202512 3,755.005 324.054 3,826.373
202603 -9,838.915 330.213 -9,838.915

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of ARS2,810.53 mean?
Harley-Davidson (BUE:HOG) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of ARS2,810.53 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Harley-Davidson and its competitors.
Is Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Harley-Davidson's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS2,810.53. Overall, Harley-Davidson has a GF Score™ of 62/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to LCII and PATK?
Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of ARS2,810.53 can be compared against companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Vehicles & Parts company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Vehicles & Parts industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Harley-Davidson and its competitors. Harley-Davidson's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS2,810.53. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Harley-Davidson stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Harley-Davidson (BUE:HOG) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ARS14,406.10, compared to a current price of ARS12,950.00 — trading 10.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS2,810.53. Harley-Davidson's overall GF Score™ is 62/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Harley-Davidson (BUE:HOG), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS2,810.53 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Harley-Davidson (BUE:HOG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Harley-Davidson stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ARS12,950.00 is trading 10.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of ARS14,406.10. GuruFocus considers Harley-Davidson to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for BUE:HOG:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: ARS2,810.53
  • GF Value™: ARS14,406.10 vs. price of ARS12,950.00 (10.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 62/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BUE:HOG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Harley-Davidson Business Description

Address 3700 West Juneau Avenue, Milwaukee, WI, USA, 53208
Harley-Davidson is a leading global manufacturer of heavyweight motorcycles across the custom, cruising, and touring categories, as well as related merchandise, parts, and accessories. In recent years, the firm has expanded into the adventure touring market with its Pan America model, into electric with the LiveWire brand, and is returning to smaller-displacement bikes with the Sprint. Its captive finance arm, Harley-Davidson Financial Services, provides wholesale financing to dealers and retail financing and insurance brokerage services to customers. Harley captured around 34% of the heavyweight domestic market in 2025.
62GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BUE:HOG

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

ARS12,950.00
Price
ARS14,406.10
GF Value