Harley-Davidson (BUE:HOG) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 1.29 (As of Jul. 25, 2026) — 52% Below Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

BUE:HOG Harley-Davidson Inc BUE:HOG
66 GF Score
Price ARS13,520.00
GF Value ARS14,527.77
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio?

Harley-Davidson BUE:HOG -2.94% 66 Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.29 as of Jul. 25, 2026, which is 52% below its 10-year median of 2.68. GuruFocus rates BUE:HOG with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of ARS14,527.77 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,028 Vehicles & Parts companies, Harley-Davidson ranks worse than 51.95% on this metric.

As of today (2026-07-25), Harley-Davidson's current share price is ARS13520.00. Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was ARS10,464.32. Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is 1.29.

The historical rank and industry rank for Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

BUE:HOG' s Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.93   Med: 2.68   Max: 5.19
Current: 1.26

During the past years, Harley-Davidson's highest Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio was 5.19. The lowest was 0.93. And the median was 2.68.

BUE:HOG's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is ranked worse than
51.95% of 1028 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 1.27 vs BUE:HOG: 1.26

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted book value per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Harley-Davidson's adjusted book value per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was ARS131,535.716. Add all the adjusted book value per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share, which is ARS10,464.32 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Harley-Davidson  (BUE:HOG) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PB Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of book value during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should give similar results to regular PB Ratio.


Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Related Terms


Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Chart

Harley-Davidson Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.68 2.72 2.25 1.72 1.08

Harley-Davidson Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.30 1.50 1.08 1.03 1.21

BUE:HOG vs LCII, PATK, THO: Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Comparison

For the Recreational Vehicles subindustry, Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio falls into.


BUE:HOG
66GF Score
Harley-Davidson Inc BUE:HOG
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Harley-Davidson Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio takes the Book Value per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/B calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPB Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio.

Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share
=13520.00/10464.32
=1.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Harley-Davidson's adjusted Book Value per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_Book=Book Value per Share/CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=131535.716/333.9520*333.9520
=131,535.716

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

Harley-Davidson Quarterly Data

Book Value per Share CPI Adj_Book
201609 504.373 241.428 697.667
201612 519.008 241.432 717.899
201703 524.963 243.801 719.080
201706 593.286 244.955 808.839
201709 580.020 246.819 784.781
201712 628.529 246.524 851.432
201803 718.727 249.554 961.797
201806 971.009 251.989 1,286.843
201809 1,459.656 252.439 1,930.982
201812 1,256.821 251.233 1,670.632
201903 1,314.562 254.202 1,726.975
201906 1,596.901 256.143 2,081.994
201909 1,920.094 256.759 2,497.358
201912 2,121.707 256.974 2,757.276
202003 2,058.493 258.115 2,663.301
202006 2,178.688 257.797 2,822.287
202009 2,573.994 260.280 3,302.560
202012 2,750.265 260.474 3,526.097
202103 3,481.420 264.877 4,389.310
202106 4,037.781 271.696 4,962.992
202109 4,451.800 274.310 5,419.735
202112 5,037.158 278.802 6,033.561
202203 5,229.687 287.504 6,074.574
202206 6,154.297 296.311 6,936.090
202209 7,658.293 296.808 8,616.689
202212 10,011.619 296.797 11,264.939
202303 12,504.525 301.836 13,835.033
202306 15,658.068 305.109 17,138.279
202309 24,777.859 307.789 26,884.052
202312 25,843.777 306.746 28,135.920
202403 61,551.241 312.332 65,811.893
202406 70,167.121 314.175 74,584.071
202409 76,845.017 315.301 81,390.630
202412 77,190.834 315.605 81,678.153
202503 81,508.935 319.799 85,116.188
202506 94,617.095 322.561 97,958.427
202509 116,554.874 324.800 119,839.080
202512 122,478.372 324.054 126,219.387
202603 114,786.344 330.213 116,086.069
202606 131,535.716 333.952 131,535.716

Add all the adjusted book value per share together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 1.29 mean?
Harley-Davidson (BUE:HOG) has a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 1.29 as of Jul. 25, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Harley-Davidson and its competitors. This is 52% below median its historical median of 2.68. Over the past decade, Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 0.93 to 5.19. According to the industry distribution chart, Harley-Davidson ranks #534 out of 1028 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, placing it in the top 51.9%.
Is Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio too high?
Harley-Davidson's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 1.29 is 52% below median its 10-year median of 2.68. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.93 to a high of 5.19. The Vehicles & Parts industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.27. Harley-Davidson's value of 1.29 is 1.6% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Harley-Davidson ranks #534 out of 1028 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Harley-Davidson has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Harley-Davidson's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio compare to LCII and PATK?
According to the Vehicles & Parts industry distribution chart, Harley-Davidson ranks #534 out of 1028 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. This places Harley-Davidson in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.27. Harley-Davidson's value of 1.29 is 1.6% above this benchmark. Historically, Harley-Davidson's own Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 0.93 to 5.19 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.68 vs. the industry median of 1.27, Harley-Davidson has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for a Vehicles & Parts company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio among Vehicles & Parts companies is 1.27, based on 1,028 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Harley-Davidson's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 1.29 is 1.6% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Harley-Davidson and its competitors. For the Vehicles & Parts industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.27 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Harley-Davidson's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.29, which is 52% below median its own 10-year median of 2.68. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Harley-Davidson stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Harley-Davidson (BUE:HOG) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is ARS14,527.77, compared to a current price of ARS13,520.00 — trading 6.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.29, which is 52% below median its 10-year median of 2.68 and 1.6% above the Vehicles & Parts industry median of 1.27. Harley-Davidson's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Harley-Davidson (BUE:HOG), the current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.29 as of Jul. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Harley-Davidson (BUE:HOG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Harley-Davidson stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ARS13,520.00 is trading 6.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of ARS14,527.77. GuruFocus considers Harley-Davidson to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for BUE:HOG:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 1.29 (52% below median its 10-year median of 2.68)
  • GF Value™: ARS14,527.77 vs. price of ARS13,520.00 (6.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 8 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 1.6% above the Vehicles & Parts median (#534 of 1028)

No single metric tells the full story. See the BUE:HOG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Harley-Davidson Business Description

Address 3700 West Juneau Avenue, Milwaukee, WI, USA, 53208
Harley-Davidson is a leading global manufacturer of heavyweight motorcycles across the custom, cruising, and touring categories, as well as related merchandise, parts, and accessories. In recent years, the firm has expanded into the adventure touring market with its Pan America model, into electric with the LiveWire brand, and is returning to smaller-displacement bikes with the Sprint. Its captive finance arm, Harley-Davidson Financial Services, provides wholesale financing to dealers and retail financing and insurance brokerage services to customers. Harley captured around 34% of the heavyweight domestic market in 2025.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BUE:HOG

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

ARS13,520.00
Price
ARS14,527.77
GF Value