Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.
ZTO Express (Cayman)ZTO -1.95%96 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is 9.20% as of Mar. 2026, which is 45% below its 10-year median of 16.70. GuruFocus rates ZTO with a GF Score™ of 96/100 and a GF Value™ of $30.39 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 871 Transportation companies, ZTO Express (Cayman) ranks better than 58.67% on this metric.
During the past 12 months, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s average EBITDA Per Share Growth Rate was -4.10% per year.
During the past 3 years, the average EBITDA Per Share Growth Rate was 9.20% per year.
During the past 5 years, the average EBITDA Per Share Growth Rate was 14.70% per year.
During the past 10 years, the average EBITDA Per Share Growth Rate was 18.00% per year.
Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the average EBITDA per share growth rate.
During the past 12 years, the highest 3-Year average EBITDA Per Share Growth Rate of ZTO Express (Cayman) was 88.80% per year. The lowest was 9.00% per year. And the median was 16.70% per year.
EBITDA per Share is the amount of Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA) per outstanding share of the company's stock.
Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA) is what the company earns before it expenses interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization.
ZTO Express (Cayman) 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate Related Terms
ZTO vs CHRW, EXPD, FDXF: 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate Comparison
For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate, along with its competitors' market caps and 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
ZTO Express (Cayman) 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate vs Transportation Industry
For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where ZTO Express (Cayman)'s 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate falls into.
This is the 3-year average growth rate of EBITDA per Share. The growth rate is calculated using exponential compounding based on the latest four year annual data.
Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the average EBITDA per share growth rate.
What does a 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate of 9.20% mean?
ZTO Express (Cayman) (ZTO) has a 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate of 9.20% as of Mar. 2026. 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is the 3-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share. View historical data for ZTO Express (Cayman) and its competitors. This is 45% below median its historical median of 16.70. Over the past decade, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate has ranged from 9.00 to 88.80. According to the industry distribution chart, ZTO Express (Cayman) ranks #360 out of 871 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 41.3%.
Is ZTO Express (Cayman)'s 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate too high?
ZTO Express (Cayman)'s current 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate of 9.20% is 45% below median its 10-year median of 16.70. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 9.00 to a high of 88.80. The Transportation industry median 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is 4.60. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s value of 9.20% is 100% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, ZTO Express (Cayman) ranks #360 out of 871 companies in the Transportation industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, ZTO Express (Cayman) has a GF Score™ of 96/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does ZTO Express (Cayman)'s 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate compare to CHRW and EXPD?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, ZTO Express (Cayman) ranks #360 out of 871 companies for 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate. This puts ZTO Express (Cayman) in the upper half of its industry. The industry median 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is 4.60. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s value of 9.20% is 100% above this benchmark. Historically, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s own 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate has ranged from 9.00 to 88.80 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 16.70 vs. the industry median of 4.60, ZTO Express (Cayman) has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate for a Transportation company?
The median 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate among Transportation companies is 4.60, based on 871 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s current 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate of 9.20% is 100% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate mean?
A high 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is the 3-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share. View historical data for ZTO Express (Cayman) and its competitors. For the Transportation industry, the median 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is 4.60 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s current 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is 9.20%, which is 45% below median its own 10-year median of 16.70. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is ZTO Express (Cayman) stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ZTO Express (Cayman) (ZTO) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $30.39, compared to a current price of $23.60 — trading 22.3% below its estimated fair value. The current 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is 9.20%, which is 45% below median its 10-year median of 16.70 and 100% above the Transportation industry median of 4.60. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s overall GF Score™ is 96/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate calculated?
3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated from a company's financial statements. For ZTO Express (Cayman) (ZTO), the current 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is 9.20% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is ZTO Express (Cayman) (ZTO) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ZTO Express (Cayman) stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $23.60 is trading 22.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of $30.39.
GuruFocus considers ZTO Express (Cayman) to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for ZTO:
3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate: 9.20% (45% below median its 10-year median of 16.70)
GF Value™: $30.39 vs. price of $23.60 (22.3% below fair value)
Industry Position: 100% above the Transportation median (#360 of 871)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ZTO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
ZTO Express is China's largest express delivery company by parcel volume, with a volume share of 19.4% in 2024. It operates a network partner model where it provides line-haul transportation and sorting services, while its local network partners provide first-mile pickup and last-mile delivery services under the ZTO brand name. Headquartered in Shanghai, the company was founded in 2002 by Meisong Lai, who remains chair, CEO, and its major shareholder with 78% voting rights as of March 31, 2025. ZTO's strategic shareholder is leading China e-commerce company Alibaba Group with around an 8.9% interest.
96GF Score
Get the complete analysis for ZTO
3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
ZTO has been successfully added to your 
