ZTO (ZTO Express (Cayman)) Momentum Rank: 2 (As of Sep. 06, 2026) — 33% Below Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

ZTO ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ZTO
90 GF Score
Price $20.95
GF Value $28.05
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
View Full Analysis

What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Momentum Rank?

ZTO Express (Cayman) ZTO +0.19% 90 Momentum Rank is 2 as of Sep. 06, 2026, which is 33% below its 10-year median of 3.00. GuruFocus rates ZTO with a GF Score™ of 90/100 and a GF Value™ of $28.05 (Modestly Undervalued).

ZTO Express (Cayman) has the Momentum Rank of 2.

Momentum Rank measures the strength and persistence of a stock's price movement over time, rated on a scale of 1 to 10.

For Momentum Rank, we considered the residual momentum concept that was widely studied by Blitz and his colleagues as well as by Nobel Prize laureates Fama and French. However, we did not find any significant differences in the performances of stocks with different ranks of residual momentum. Therefore, we use traditional momentum instead.

Momentum Rank is determined using the standardized momentum ratio and other momentum indicators. The standardized momentum ratio is the average of the performances from 12 months ago to 1 month ago and 6 months ago to 1 month ago, divided by the beta of the stock over the past 12 months. To calculate the momentum ratio today, we would use the average of the two performance numbers.

For momentum, we found that stock price performance does not have a monotonic correlation with the momentum ratio. The stocks with the highest momentum ratios perform worse than those at about the 70th percentile. Therefore, for the momentum rank, we ranked the stocks at about the 70th percentile of the momentum ratio as the highest at 10.

A higher score reflects strong price momentum and indicates greater potential for superior performance. Conversely, a lower score indicates that momentum is either too high or too low, and stocks tend to underperform.

Please click GF Score to see more details on the GF Score's 5 Key Aspects of Analysis.


ZTO Express (Cayman) Momentum Rank Related Terms


ZTO vs CHRW, FDXF, JBHT: Momentum Rank Comparison

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Momentum Rank, along with its competitors' market caps and Momentum Rank data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ZTO Express (Cayman) Momentum Rank vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Momentum Rank distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Momentum Rank falls into.


ZTO
90GF Score
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc ZTO
Momentum Rank is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis
Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Momentum Rank →
What does a Momentum Rank of 2 mean?
ZTO Express (Cayman) (ZTO) has a Momentum Rank of 2 as of Sep. 06, 2026. Momentum Rank is determined using the standardized momentum ratio, measuring the speed and velocity of price changes in a stock. View historical data on ZTO Express (Cayman) and its competitors. This is 33% below median its historical median of 3.00. Over the past decade, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Momentum Rank has ranged from 1.00 to 10.00.
Is ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Momentum Rank too high?
ZTO Express (Cayman)'s current Momentum Rank of 2 is 33% below median its 10-year median of 3.00. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.00 to a high of 10.00. Overall, ZTO Express (Cayman) has a GF Score™ of 90/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Momentum Rank compare to CHRW and FDXF?
ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Momentum Rank of 2 can be compared against companies in the Transportation industry. Historically, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s own Momentum Rank has ranged from 1.00 to 10.00 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Momentum Rank for a Transportation company?
A good Momentum Rank depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Momentum Rank should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Momentum Rank mean?
A high Momentum Rank can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Momentum Rank is determined using the standardized momentum ratio, measuring the speed and velocity of price changes in a stock. View historical data on ZTO Express (Cayman) and its competitors. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s current Momentum Rank is 2, which is 33% below median its own 10-year median of 3.00. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is ZTO Express (Cayman) stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ZTO Express (Cayman) (ZTO) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $28.05, compared to a current price of $20.95 — trading 25.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Momentum Rank is 2, which is 33% below median its 10-year median of 3.00. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s overall GF Score™ is 90/100. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Momentum Rank calculated?
Momentum Rank is calculated from a company's financial statements. For ZTO Express (Cayman) (ZTO), the current Momentum Rank is 2 as of Sep. 06, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is ZTO Express (Cayman) (ZTO) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ZTO Express (Cayman) stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $20.95 is trading 25.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of $28.05. GuruFocus considers ZTO Express (Cayman) to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for ZTO:

  • Momentum Rank: 2 (33% below median its 10-year median of 3.00)
  • GF Value™: $28.05 vs. price of $20.95 (25.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 90/100

No single metric tells the full story. See the ZTO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


ZTO Express (Cayman) Business Description

Address No. 1685 Huazhi Road, Building One, Qingpu District, Shanghai, CHN, 201708
ZTO Express is China's largest express delivery company by parcel volume, with a volume share of 19.4% in 2024. It operates a network partner model where it provides line-haul transportation and sorting services, while its local network partners provide first-mile pickup and last-mile delivery services under the ZTO brand name. Headquartered in Shanghai, the company was founded in 2002 by Meisong Lai, who remains chair, CEO, and its major shareholder with 78% voting rights as of March 31, 2025. ZTO's strategic shareholder is leading China e-commerce company Alibaba Group with around an 8.9% interest.
90GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ZTO

Momentum Rank is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$20.95
Price
$28.05
GF Value