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AEIS (Advanced Energy Industries) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $41.63 (As of Sep24)


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What is Advanced Energy Industries Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep24, Advanced Energy Industries's earnings power value is $41.63. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -183.08

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Advanced Energy Industries Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Advanced Energy Industries's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Advanced Energy Industries Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Advanced Energy Industries Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 32.36 43.21 46.71 45.76 42.26

Advanced Energy Industries Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 40.19 42.26 39.39 38.93 41.63

Competitive Comparison of Advanced Energy Industries's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Electrical Equipment & Parts subindustry, Advanced Energy Industries's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Advanced Energy Industries's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Advanced Energy Industries's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Advanced Energy Industries's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Advanced Energy Industries Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Advanced Energy Industries's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1,556
DDA 58
Operating Margin % 9.82
SGA * 25% 52
Tax Rate % 14.31
Maintenance Capex 38
Cash and Cash Equivalents 657
Short-Term Debt 18
Long-Term Debt 644
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 38

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 9.82%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $1,556 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 9.82%, Average Adjusted SGA = 52,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,556 * 9.82% +52 = $204.612174593 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 14.31%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $204.612174593 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 204.612174593 * ( 1 - 14.31% ) = $175.33114934787 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 58 * 0.5 * 14.31% = $4.152363301 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 175.33114934787 + 4.152363301 = $179.48351264887 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Advanced Energy Industries's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $38 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Advanced Energy Industries's current cash and cash equivalent = $657 Mil.
Advanced Energy Industries's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 644 + 18 = $662.624 Mil.
Advanced Energy Industries's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 38 Mil.

Advanced Energy Industries's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 179.48351264887 - 38)/ 9%+657-662.624 )/38
=41.63

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 41.627195948011-117.84 )/41.627195948011
= -183.08%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Advanced Energy Industries  (NAS:AEIS) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Advanced Energy Industries Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Advanced Energy Industries's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Advanced Energy Industries Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1595 Wynkoop Street, Suite 800, Denver, CO, USA, 80202
Advanced Energy Industries Inc provides precision power-conversion measurement and control solutions that transform power into various forms for use in manufacturing and industrial equipment and applications. The firm serves original equipment manufacturers and end customers in the semiconductor, flat panel display, solar panel, and other industrial capital equipment markets. Products include thin-film power-conversion systems, which control and modify raw electrical power into a customizable, predictable power source, and power control modules, which control and measure temperature during manufacturing cycles. A majority of the firm's revenue is generated in the United States, with the rest primarily from Asia and Europe.
Executives
Tina Donikowski director 1625 SHARP POINT DRIVE, FORT COLLINS CO 80525
Lanesha Minnix director TWO LAKESIDE COMMONS, BUILDING TWO, 980 HAMMOND DRIVE, SUITE 500, ATLANTA GA 30328
Frederick Ball director C/O MARKETO, INC., 901 MARINER'S ISLAND BLVD., SUITE 500, SAN MATEO CA 94404
Anne Delsanto director 1133 INNOVATION WAY, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Ronald C Foster director 8000 S FEDERAL WAY, MS 1-557, BOISE ID 83716
Paul R Oldham officer: EVP, CFO 1625 SHARP POINT DRIVE, FORT COLLINS CO 80525
John Donaghey officer: EVP, Global Sales 1595 WYNKOOP STREET, SUITE 800, DENVER CO 80202
Brian Shirley director 8000 S FEDERAL WAY, MS 1-557, BOISE ID 83716
Elizabeth Karpinski Vonne officer: EVP, General Counsel 1595 WYNKOOP STREET, SUITE 800, DENVER CO 80202
Eduardo Bernal Acebedo officer: EVP and COO 1595 WYNKOOP STREET, SUITE 800, DENVER CO 80202
Reed David director 6501 WILLIAM CANNON DRIVE WEST, AUSTIN TX 78735
Stephen Douglas Kelley officer: President and CEO 1900 S. PRICE ROAD, CHANDLER AZ 85286
Yuval Wasserman officer: EVP, Sales, Service & Mktg 1625 SHARP POINT DRIVE, FORT COLLINS CO 80525
Dana Edward Huth officer: CHIEF REVENUE OFFICER 1595 WYNKOOP STREET, SUITE 800, DENVER CO 80202
Thomas O Mcgimpsey officer: EVP Gen Counsel & Corp Sec 380 INTERLOCKEN CRESCENT, BROOMFIELD CO 80021