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Suxin Joyful Life Services Co (HKSE:02152) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : HK$5.76 (As of Dec23)


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What is Suxin Joyful Life Services Co Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Suxin Joyful Life Services Co's earnings power value is HK$5.76. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 11.7

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Suxin Joyful Life Services Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Suxin Joyful Life Services Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Suxin Joyful Life Services Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Suxin Joyful Life Services Co Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
- - - - 5.76

Suxin Joyful Life Services Co Semi-Annual Data
Dec19 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only - - - 5.76 -

Competitive Comparison of Suxin Joyful Life Services Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Suxin Joyful Life Services Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Suxin Joyful Life Services Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Suxin Joyful Life Services Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Suxin Joyful Life Services Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.


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Suxin Joyful Life Services Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Suxin Joyful Life Services Co's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 5 Years Last Year
Revenue 591.6
DDA 17.5
Operating Margin % 15.46
SGA * 25% 7.6
Tax Rate % 25.14
Maintenance Capex 60.0
Cash and Cash Equivalents 530.7
Short-Term Debt 11.1
Long-Term Debt 119.5
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 101.0

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 15.46%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = HK$591.6 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 15.46%, Average Adjusted SGA = 7.6,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 591.6 * 15.46% +7.6 = HK$99.055677632 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 25.14%, and "Normalized" EBIT = HK$99.055677632 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 99.055677632 * ( 1 - 25.14% ) = HK$74.153080275315 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 17.5 * 0.5 * 25.14% = HK$2.204778 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 74.153080275315 + 2.204778 = HK$76.357858275315 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Suxin Joyful Life Services Co's Average Maintenance CAPEX = HK$60.0 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Suxin Joyful Life Services Co's current cash and cash equivalent = HK$530.7 Mil.
Suxin Joyful Life Services Co's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 119.5 + 11.1 = HK$130.514 Mil.
Suxin Joyful Life Services Co's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 101.0 Mil.

Suxin Joyful Life Services Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 76.357858275315 - 60.0)/ 9%+530.7-130.514 )/101.0
=5.76

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 5.7644636517127-5.09 )/5.7644636517127
= 11.7%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Suxin Joyful Life Services Co  (HKSE:02152) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Suxin Joyful Life Services Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Suxin Joyful Life Services Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
28 Shishan Road, SND International Commerce Tower, Room 3001, 30th Floor, Gaoxin District, Jiangsu Province, Suzhou, CHN
Suxin Joyful Life Services Co Ltd is a city service and property management service provider in the Yangtze River Delta region, especially in Suzhou. It also provides city services for public infrastructure and basic property management services and value added services for commercial properties and residential communities. The company assists local government and public administrations in providing urban services to improve the living experience and environment of local residents.
Executives
Bocom International Holdings Company Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Sha Men Guo Ji Tou Zi You Xian Gong Si
Ji You Guo Ji Jin Rong Kong Gu You Xian Gong Si
Ji You Guo Ji Zi Ben You Xian Gong Si
Sha Men Guo Ji Yin Xing Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si
Shang Hai Guo Ji Xin Tuo You Xian Gong Si 2301 Trustee
Ji You Yin Xing You Xian Gong Si
Bank Of Communications Co., Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Wu Ye 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shang Hai Yuan Yuan Rong Rong Qi Ye Guan Li He Huo Qi Ye You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Jian Xin Ji Jin Guan Li You Xian Ze Ren Gong Si Dai Jian Xin Hai Wai Jue Jin Hao Dan Yi Zi Chan Guan
Su Zhou Guang Lin Jian She You Xian Ze Ren Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Lu Jian Chao 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Chen Ai Hua 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Su Zhou Qian Mo Xiang Jian Lv You Fa Zhan You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner

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