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OPY (Oppenheimer Holdings) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $146.85 (As of Sep24)


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What is Oppenheimer Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep24, Oppenheimer Holdings's earnings power value is $146.85. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 56.48

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Oppenheimer Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Oppenheimer Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Oppenheimer Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Oppenheimer Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 63.02 71.42 117.74 128.30 147.91

Oppenheimer Holdings Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 136.03 147.91 147.65 141.53 146.85

Competitive Comparison of Oppenheimer Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Oppenheimer Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Oppenheimer Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Oppenheimer Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Oppenheimer Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Oppenheimer Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Oppenheimer Holdings's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1,261
DDA 35
Operating Margin % 21.33
SGA * 25% 37
Tax Rate % 28.65
Maintenance Capex 7
Cash and Cash Equivalents 32
Short-Term Debt 0
Long-Term Debt 782
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 11

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 21.33%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $1,261 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 21.33%, Average Adjusted SGA = 37,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,261 * 21.33% +37 = $306.243632101 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 28.65%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $306.243632101 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 306.243632101 * ( 1 - 28.65% ) = $218.50023784958 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 35 * 0.5 * 28.65% = $5.014241712 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 218.50023784958 + 5.014241712 = $223.51447956158 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Oppenheimer Holdings's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $7 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Oppenheimer Holdings's current cash and cash equivalent = $32 Mil.
Oppenheimer Holdings's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 782 + 0 = $781.807 Mil.
Oppenheimer Holdings's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 11 Mil.

Oppenheimer Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 223.51447956158 - 7)/ 9%+32-781.807 )/11
=146.85

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 146.84738188566-63.91 )/146.84738188566
= 56.48%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Oppenheimer Holdings  (NYSE:OPY) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Oppenheimer Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Oppenheimer Holdings Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
85 Broad Street, New York, NY, USA, 10004
Oppenheimer Holdings Inc conducts activities in the securities industry. The company is involved in retail securities brokerage, investment banking (both corporate and public finance), institutional sales and trading, market-making, research, trust services, and investment advisory and asset management services. The company has three segments: private client, asset management, and capital markets. The Private Client segment, commissions and a proportionate amount of fee income earned on assets under management ("AUM"), net interest earnings on client margin loans and cash balances, fees from money market funds, and custodian fees. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the Americas, with the rest from Europe, the Middle East, and Asia.
Executives
Evan Behrens director C/O SEACOR HOLDINGS INC., 2200 ELLER DRIVE, P.O. BOX 13038, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33316
Dennis P Mcnamara officer: Secretary C/O OPPENHEIMER & CO. INC., 85 BROAD STREET, NEW YORK NY 10004
Stacy J. Kanter director C/O APPLIED THERAPEUTICS, INC., 340 MADISON AVENUE, 19TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10173
Brad M Watkins officer: CFO 72 CANDY LANE, SYOSSET NY 11791
Paul M Friedman director 11 DEERFIELD LANE, SCARSDALE NY 10583
R Lawrence Roth director C/O OPPENHEIMER HOLDINGS INC., 85 BROAD STREET, NEW YORK NY 10004
A Winn Oughtred director 52 MAPLE AVE, TORONTO ONTARIO A6 M4W 2T7
Timothy Martin Dwyer director 60 BEACON HILL ROAD, NEW CANAAN CT 06840
William Ehrhardt director 101 PARK BLVD NORTH, VENICE FL 34285
Teresa Glasser director 1044 GRAND ISLE TERRACE, PALM BEACH GARDENS FL 33418
Robert S Lowenthal director 85 BROAD STREET, NEW YORK NY 10004
Albert G Lowenthal director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO OPPENHEIMER HOLDINGS INC., 85 BROAD STREET, NEW YORK NY 10004
Jeffrey J Alfano officer: CFO C/O OPPENHEIMER & CO. INC., 85 BROAD STREET, NEW YORK NY 10004
Morris Goldfarb director C/O G-III APPAREL GROUP, 345 W 37TH ST, NY NY 10018
Richard Crystal director 41 BLACK BIRCH LN, SCARSDALE NY 10583