Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.
ZTO Express (Cayman)BSP:Z1TO34 95 Graham Number is R$25.32 as of Mar. 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 1.93. GuruFocus rates BSP:Z1TO34 with a GF Score™ of 95/100 and a GF Value™ of R$36.27 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 743 Transportation companies, ZTO Express (Cayman) ranks worse than 61.64% on this metric.
Graham Number is a figure that measures a stock's fundamental value by taking into account the company's earnings per share and book value per share. The Graham number is the upper bound of the price range that a defensive investor should pay for the stock. According to the theory, any stock price below the Graham number is considered undervalued, and thus worth investing in.
As of today (2026-07-27), the stock price of ZTO Express (Cayman) is R$30.54. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s graham number for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was R$25.32. Therefore, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Price to Graham Number ratio for today is 1.21.
The historical rank and industry rank for ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Graham Number or its related term are showing as below:
BSP:Z1TO34'
s Price-to-Graham-Number Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.99 Med: 1.93 Max: 2.7
Current: 1.26
During the past 12 years, the highest Price to Graham Number ratio of ZTO Express (Cayman) was 2.70. The lowest was 0.99. And the median was 1.93.
BSP:Z1TO34's Price-to-Graham-Number is ranked worse than 61.64% of 743
companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 1.02
vs BSP:Z1TO34: 1.26
Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation. It is a very conservative way of valuing a stock.
ZTO Express (Cayman) (BSP:Z1TO34) Graham Number Explanation
Ben Graham actually did not publish a formula like this. But he wrote in The Intelligent Investor (1948 version) regarding to the criteria for purchases:
Current price should not be more than 15 times average earnings of the past three years.
Current price should not be more than 1.5 times the book value last reported. However, a multiplier of earnings below 15 could justify a correspondingly higher multiplier of assets. As a rule of thumb we suggest that the product of the multiplier times the ratio of price to book value should not exceed 22.5. (This figure corresponds to 15 times earnings and 1.5 times book value. It would admit an issue selling at only 9 times earnings and 2.5 times asset value, etc.)
Unlike valuation methods such as DCF or Discounted Earnings, the Graham number does not take growth into the valuation. Unlike the valuation methods based on book value alone, it takes into account the earnings power. Therefore, the Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation.
In general, the Graham number is a very conservative way of valuing a stock. It cannot be applied to companies with negative book values.
ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Price to Graham number Ratio for today is calculated as
Price to Graham number
=
Share Price (Today)
/
Graham number (Q: Mar. 2026 )
=
30.54
/
25.32
=
1.21
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Be Aware
Please keep these in mind:
1. Graham Number does not take growth into account. Therefore it underestimates the values of the companies that have good earnings growth. We feel that if the earnings per share grows more than 10% a year, Graham Number underestimates the value.
2. Graham Number punishes the companies that have temporarily low earnings. Therefore, an average of earnings makes more sense in the calculation of Graham Number.
3. Graham Numbers underestimates companies that are light with book.
ZTO Express (Cayman) Graham Number Related Terms
ZTO Express (Cayman) Graham Number Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Graham Number can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
BSP:Z1TO34 vs CHRW, EXPD, FDXF: Graham Number Comparison
For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Price-to-Graham-Number, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Graham-Number data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
ZTO Express (Cayman) Price-to-Graham-Number vs Transportation Industry
For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Price-to-Graham-Number distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Price-to-Graham-Number falls into.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
ZTO Express (Cayman) (BSP:Z1TO34) has a Graham Number of R$25.32 as of Mar. 2026. The Graham Number values a company based on its per-share earnings and book value. View historical data on ZTO Express (Cayman) and its competitors. This is 1212% above median its historical median of 1.93. Over the past decade, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Graham Number has ranged from 0.99 to 2.70. According to the industry distribution chart, ZTO Express (Cayman) ranks #458 out of 743 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 61.6%.
Is ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Graham Number too high?
ZTO Express (Cayman)'s current Graham Number of R$25.32 is 1212% above median its 10-year median of 1.93. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.99 to a high of 2.70. Based on the distribution chart, ZTO Express (Cayman) ranks #458 out of 743 companies in the Transportation industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, ZTO Express (Cayman) has a GF Score™ of 95/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does ZTO Express (Cayman)'s Graham Number compare to CHRW and EXPD?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, ZTO Express (Cayman) ranks #458 out of 743 companies for Graham Number. This places ZTO Express (Cayman) in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Graham Number is 1.02. Historically, ZTO Express (Cayman)'s own Graham Number has ranged from 0.99 to 2.70 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Graham Number for a Transportation company?
The median Graham Number among Transportation companies is 1.02, based on 743 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Graham Number significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Graham Number should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Graham Number mean?
A high Graham Number can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Graham Number values a company based on its per-share earnings and book value. View historical data on ZTO Express (Cayman) and its competitors. For the Transportation industry, the median Graham Number is 1.02 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s current Graham Number is R$25.32, which is 1212% above median its own 10-year median of 1.93. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is ZTO Express (Cayman) stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ZTO Express (Cayman) (BSP:Z1TO34) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R$36.27, compared to a current price of R$30.54 — trading 15.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Graham Number is R$25.32, which is 1212% above median its 10-year median of 1.93. ZTO Express (Cayman)'s overall GF Score™ is 95/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Graham Number calculated?
Graham Number is calculated from a company's financial statements. For ZTO Express (Cayman) (BSP:Z1TO34), the current Graham Number is R$25.32 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is ZTO Express (Cayman) (BSP:Z1TO34) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ZTO Express (Cayman) stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of R$30.54 is trading 15.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of R$36.27.
GuruFocus considers ZTO Express (Cayman) to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for BSP:Z1TO34:
Graham Number: R$25.32 (1212% above median its 10-year median of 1.93)
GF Value™: R$36.27 vs. price of R$30.54 (15.8% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the BSP:Z1TO34 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
ZTO Express is China's largest express delivery company by parcel volume, with a volume share of 19.4% in 2024. It operates a network partner model where it provides line-haul transportation and sorting services, while its local network partners provide first-mile pickup and last-mile delivery services under the ZTO brand name. Headquartered in Shanghai, the company was founded in 2002 by Meisong Lai, who remains chair, CEO, and its major shareholder with 78% voting rights as of March 31, 2025. ZTO's strategic shareholder is leading China e-commerce company Alibaba Group with around an 8.9% interest.
95GF Score
Get the complete analysis for BSP:Z1TO34
Graham Number is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
BSP:Z1TO34 has been successfully added to your 
